Teradyne Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| TEY Stock | EUR 126.66 1.08 0.85% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Teradyne on the next trading day is expected to be 127.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 146.94. Teradyne Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Teradyne stock prices and determine the direction of Teradyne's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Teradyne's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teradyne to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Teradyne Stock please use our How to Invest in Teradyne guide.Teradyne |
Most investors in Teradyne cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Teradyne's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Teradyne's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Teradyne works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality. Teradyne Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Teradyne on the next trading day is expected to be 127.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49, mean absolute percentage error of 9.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 146.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Teradyne Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Teradyne's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Teradyne Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Teradyne | Teradyne Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Teradyne Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Teradyne's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Teradyne's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 124.57 and 130.57, respectively. We have considered Teradyne's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teradyne stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teradyne stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3468 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.4905 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0243 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 146.94 |
Predictive Modules for Teradyne
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teradyne. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Teradyne's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Teradyne
For every potential investor in Teradyne, whether a beginner or expert, Teradyne's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teradyne Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teradyne. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teradyne's price trends.Teradyne Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Teradyne stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Teradyne could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Teradyne by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Teradyne Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Teradyne's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Teradyne's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Teradyne Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Teradyne stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Teradyne shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Teradyne stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Teradyne entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0017 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (4.91) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 126.77 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 126.73 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.22 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.65) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.08) |
Teradyne Risk Indicators
The analysis of Teradyne's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Teradyne's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting teradyne stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.93 | |||
| Variance | 8.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.82 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| VWITX | Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt | |
| VGSTX | Vanguard Star Fund | |
| VFIAX | Vanguard 500 Index | |
| VTCLX | Vanguard Tax Managed Capital | |
| VTSAX | Vanguard Total Stock |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teradyne to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Teradyne Stock please use our How to Invest in Teradyne guide.You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Complementary Tools for Teradyne Stock analysis
When running Teradyne's price analysis, check to measure Teradyne's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Teradyne is operating at the current time. Most of Teradyne's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Teradyne's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Teradyne's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Teradyne to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
| Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios |