Teradata Corp Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

TDC Stock  USD 33.02  0.14  0.43%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Teradata Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 33.08 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.65  and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.57. Teradata Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Teradata Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Teradata Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Teradata Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Teradata Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Teradata Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Teradata Corp fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teradata Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Teradata Stock refer to our How to Trade Teradata Stock guide.
  
At present, Teradata Corp's Payables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 1.19, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 3.60. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 120.4 M, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is forecasted to decline to about 28.2 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Teradata Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Teradata Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Teradata Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Teradata Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Teradata Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Teradata Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Teradata Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Teradata. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Teradata Corp cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Teradata Corp's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Teradata Corp's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Teradata Corp polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Teradata Corp as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Teradata Corp Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of May 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Teradata Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 33.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Teradata Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Teradata Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Teradata Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Teradata Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Teradata Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Teradata Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.65 and 36.50, respectively. We have considered Teradata Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
33.02
33.08
Expected Value
36.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teradata Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teradata Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.9207
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6486
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0177
SAESum of the absolute errors39.567
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Teradata Corp historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Teradata Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teradata Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Teradata Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.6033.0236.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.5829.0036.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.6136.1739.73
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
55.0260.4667.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Teradata Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Teradata Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Teradata Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Teradata Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Teradata Corp

For every potential investor in Teradata, whether a beginner or expert, Teradata Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teradata Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teradata. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teradata Corp's price trends.

Teradata Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Teradata Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Teradata Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Teradata Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Teradata Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Teradata Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Teradata Corp's current price.

Teradata Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Teradata Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Teradata Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Teradata Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Teradata Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Teradata Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Teradata Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Teradata Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting teradata stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Teradata Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Teradata Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Teradata Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Teradata Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teradata Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Teradata Stock refer to our How to Trade Teradata Stock guide.
Note that the Teradata Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Teradata Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

Complementary Tools for Teradata Stock analysis

When running Teradata Corp's price analysis, check to measure Teradata Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Teradata Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Teradata Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Teradata Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Teradata Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Teradata Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Teradata Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Teradata Corp. If investors know Teradata will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Teradata Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.49)
Earnings Share
0.42
Revenue Per Share
18.441
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Return On Assets
0.0496
The market value of Teradata Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Teradata that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Teradata Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Teradata Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Teradata Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Teradata Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Teradata Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Teradata Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Teradata Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.