Qbeyond AG Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

QSCGF Stock  USD 0.88  0  0.23%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of qbeyond AG on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.02  and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.08. Qbeyond Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Qbeyond AG stock prices and determine the direction of qbeyond AG's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Qbeyond AG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Qbeyond AG to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Qbeyond AG cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Qbeyond AG's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Qbeyond AG's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Qbeyond AG is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of qbeyond AG value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Qbeyond AG Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of qbeyond AG on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Qbeyond Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Qbeyond AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Qbeyond AG Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Qbeyond AG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Qbeyond AG's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Qbeyond AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.92, respectively. We have considered Qbeyond AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.88
1.00
Expected Value
5.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Qbeyond AG pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Qbeyond AG pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.3204
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0176
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0242
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0766
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of qbeyond AG. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Qbeyond AG. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Qbeyond AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as qbeyond AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Qbeyond AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.885.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.825.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Qbeyond AG. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Qbeyond AG's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Qbeyond AG's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in qbeyond AG.

Other Forecasting Options for Qbeyond AG

For every potential investor in Qbeyond, whether a beginner or expert, Qbeyond AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Qbeyond Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Qbeyond. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Qbeyond AG's price trends.

Qbeyond AG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Qbeyond AG pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Qbeyond AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Qbeyond AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

qbeyond AG Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Qbeyond AG's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Qbeyond AG's current price.

Qbeyond AG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Qbeyond AG pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Qbeyond AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Qbeyond AG pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify qbeyond AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Qbeyond AG Risk Indicators

The analysis of Qbeyond AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Qbeyond AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting qbeyond pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Qbeyond AG to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the qbeyond AG information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Qbeyond AG's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Qbeyond AG's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Qbeyond AG is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Qbeyond AG's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.