Multipolar Tbk Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| MLPL Stock | IDR 54.00 1.00 1.89% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Multipolar Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 53.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.50. Multipolar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Multipolar Tbk stock prices and determine the direction of Multipolar Tbk's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Multipolar Tbk's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Multipolar Tbk to cross-verify your projections. Multipolar |
Most investors in Multipolar Tbk cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Multipolar Tbk's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Multipolar Tbk's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Multipolar Tbk is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility. Multipolar Tbk 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of June
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Multipolar Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 53.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.57, mean absolute percentage error of 5.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Multipolar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Multipolar Tbk's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Multipolar Tbk Stock Forecast Pattern
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Multipolar Tbk Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Multipolar Tbk's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Multipolar Tbk's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.76 and 56.74, respectively. We have considered Multipolar Tbk's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Multipolar Tbk stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Multipolar Tbk stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.4897 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3684 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5702 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0278 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 89.5 |
Predictive Modules for Multipolar Tbk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multipolar Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Multipolar Tbk's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Multipolar Tbk
For every potential investor in Multipolar, whether a beginner or expert, Multipolar Tbk's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Multipolar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Multipolar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Multipolar Tbk's price trends.Multipolar Tbk Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Multipolar Tbk stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Multipolar Tbk could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Multipolar Tbk by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Multipolar Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Multipolar Tbk's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Multipolar Tbk's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Multipolar Tbk Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Multipolar Tbk stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Multipolar Tbk shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Multipolar Tbk stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Multipolar Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0536 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3333 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 54.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 54.33 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.0 |
Multipolar Tbk Risk Indicators
The analysis of Multipolar Tbk's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Multipolar Tbk's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting multipolar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.93 | |||
| Variance | 8.61 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Multipolar Stock
Multipolar Tbk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multipolar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multipolar with respect to the benefits of owning Multipolar Tbk security.