Melco Resorts Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| MLCO Stock | USD 7.85 0.17 2.12% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Melco Resorts Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 6.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.04. Melco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Melco Resorts stock prices and determine the direction of Melco Resorts Entertainment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Melco Resorts' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Melco Resorts' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Melco Resorts' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Melco Resorts fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Melco Resorts to cross-verify your projections. Melco |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-10 Melco Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Melco Resorts' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Melco Resorts' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Melco Resorts stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Melco Resorts' open interest, investors have to compare it to Melco Resorts' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Melco Resorts is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Melco. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Melco Resorts cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Melco Resorts' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Melco Resorts' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Melco Resorts Entertainment is based on a synthetically constructed Melco Resortsdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time. Melco Resorts 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Melco Resorts Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 6.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Melco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Melco Resorts' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Melco Resorts Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Melco Resorts | Melco Resorts Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Melco Resorts Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Melco Resorts' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Melco Resorts' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.03 and 9.73, respectively. We have considered Melco Resorts' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Melco Resorts stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Melco Resorts stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 82.1794 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1213 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5009 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0716 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.039 |
Predictive Modules for Melco Resorts
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Melco Resorts Entert. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Melco Resorts' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Melco Resorts
For every potential investor in Melco, whether a beginner or expert, Melco Resorts' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Melco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Melco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Melco Resorts' price trends.Melco Resorts Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Melco Resorts stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Melco Resorts could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Melco Resorts by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Melco Resorts Entert Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Melco Resorts' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Melco Resorts' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Melco Resorts Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Melco Resorts stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Melco Resorts shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Melco Resorts stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Melco Resorts Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 149667.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.44) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7.9 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7.89 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.14) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.17) |
Melco Resorts Risk Indicators
The analysis of Melco Resorts' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Melco Resorts' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting melco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.86 | |||
| Variance | 8.16 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Melco Resorts Investors Sentiment
The influence of Melco Resorts' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Melco. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Melco Resorts' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Melco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Melco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Melco Resorts Entertainment. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Melco Resorts' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Melco Resorts' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Melco Resorts' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Melco Resorts.
Melco Resorts Implied Volatility | 158.69 |
Melco Resorts' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Melco Resorts Entertainment stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Melco Resorts' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Melco Resorts stock will not fluctuate a lot when Melco Resorts' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Melco Resorts in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Melco Resorts' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Melco Resorts options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Melco Resorts to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Melco Resorts Entert information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Melco Resorts' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Melco Stock analysis
When running Melco Resorts' price analysis, check to measure Melco Resorts' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Melco Resorts is operating at the current time. Most of Melco Resorts' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Melco Resorts' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Melco Resorts' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Melco Resorts to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Melco Resorts' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Melco Resorts. If investors know Melco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Melco Resorts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.797 | Earnings Share (0.53) | Revenue Per Share 9.545 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.553 | Return On Assets 0.0295 |
The market value of Melco Resorts Entert is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Melco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Melco Resorts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Melco Resorts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Melco Resorts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Melco Resorts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Melco Resorts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Melco Resorts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Melco Resorts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.