Masimo Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

MASI Stock  USD 124.10  3.49  2.89%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Masimo on the next trading day is expected to be 120.28 with a mean absolute deviation of  3.60  and the sum of the absolute errors of 194.34. Masimo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Masimo stock prices and determine the direction of Masimo's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Masimo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Masimo's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Masimo's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Masimo fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Masimo to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Masimo Stock please use our How to Invest in Masimo guide.
  
As of now, Masimo's Asset Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 52.5 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 134.2 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-06-21 Masimo Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Masimo's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Masimo's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Masimo stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Masimo's open interest, investors have to compare it to Masimo's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Masimo is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Masimo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Masimo cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Masimo's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Masimo's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Masimo is based on an artificially constructed time series of Masimo daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Masimo 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of May

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Masimo on the next trading day is expected to be 120.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.60, mean absolute percentage error of 28.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 194.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Masimo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Masimo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Masimo Stock Forecast Pattern

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Masimo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Masimo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Masimo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 117.98 and 122.59, respectively. We have considered Masimo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
124.10
117.98
Downside
120.28
Expected Value
122.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Masimo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Masimo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.5949
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.6481
MADMean absolute deviation3.5988
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0278
SAESum of the absolute errors194.3375
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Masimo 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Masimo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Masimo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Masimo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
121.20123.50125.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
109.55111.85136.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
113.01129.43145.85
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
118.87130.63145.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Masimo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Masimo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Masimo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Masimo.

Other Forecasting Options for Masimo

For every potential investor in Masimo, whether a beginner or expert, Masimo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Masimo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Masimo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Masimo's price trends.

Masimo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Masimo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Masimo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Masimo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Masimo Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Masimo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Masimo's current price.

Masimo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Masimo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Masimo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Masimo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Masimo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Masimo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Masimo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Masimo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting masimo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Masimo offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Masimo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Masimo Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Masimo Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Masimo to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Masimo Stock please use our How to Invest in Masimo guide.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

Complementary Tools for Masimo Stock analysis

When running Masimo's price analysis, check to measure Masimo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Masimo is operating at the current time. Most of Masimo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Masimo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Masimo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Masimo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Masimo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Masimo. If investors know Masimo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Masimo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Earnings Share
1.47
Revenue Per Share
37.352
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.13)
Return On Assets
0.0294
The market value of Masimo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Masimo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Masimo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Masimo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Masimo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Masimo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Masimo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Masimo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Masimo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.