Sentral Mitra Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| LUCK Stock | 56.00 2.00 3.70% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Sentral Mitra Informatika on the next trading day is expected to be 55.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.64. Sentral Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sentral Mitra stock prices and determine the direction of Sentral Mitra Informatika's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sentral Mitra's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sentral Mitra to cross-verify your projections. Sentral |
Most investors in Sentral Mitra cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Sentral Mitra's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Sentral Mitra's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Sentral Mitra polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Sentral Mitra Informatika as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Sentral Mitra Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Sentral Mitra Informatika on the next trading day is expected to be 55.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.54, mean absolute percentage error of 3.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sentral Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sentral Mitra's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sentral Mitra Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sentral Mitra | Sentral Mitra Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sentral Mitra Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sentral Mitra's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sentral Mitra's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 53.13 and 58.03, respectively. We have considered Sentral Mitra's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sentral Mitra stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sentral Mitra stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.4488 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.535 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0243 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 93.6353 |
Predictive Modules for Sentral Mitra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sentral Mitra Informatika. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sentral Mitra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Sentral Mitra
For every potential investor in Sentral, whether a beginner or expert, Sentral Mitra's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sentral Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sentral. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sentral Mitra's price trends.Sentral Mitra Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sentral Mitra stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sentral Mitra could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sentral Mitra by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sentral Mitra Informatika Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sentral Mitra's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sentral Mitra's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sentral Mitra Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sentral Mitra stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sentral Mitra shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sentral Mitra stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sentral Mitra Informatika entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sentral Mitra Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sentral Mitra's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sentral Mitra's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sentral stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.45 | |||
| Variance | 6.0 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis
Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Sentral Mitra Informatika using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.Build Optimal Portfolios
Align your risk with return expectations
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sentral Mitra to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Sentral Stock analysis
When running Sentral Mitra's price analysis, check to measure Sentral Mitra's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sentral Mitra is operating at the current time. Most of Sentral Mitra's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sentral Mitra's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sentral Mitra's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sentral Mitra to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals |