LL Flooring Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
LL Stock | USD 1.50 0.01 0.66% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LL Flooring Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.39. LL Flooring Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LL Flooring stock prices and determine the direction of LL Flooring Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LL Flooring's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although LL Flooring's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of LL Flooring's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of LL Flooring fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LL Flooring to cross-verify your projections. LL Flooring |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 LL Flooring Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast LL Flooring's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in LL Flooring's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for LL Flooring stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current LL Flooring's open interest, investors have to compare it to LL Flooring's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of LL Flooring is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in LL Flooring. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in LL Flooring cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the LL Flooring's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets LL Flooring's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for LL Flooring works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality. LL Flooring Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LL Flooring Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LL Flooring Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LL Flooring's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
LL Flooring Stock Forecast Pattern
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LL Flooring Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting LL Flooring's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LL Flooring's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.42, respectively. We have considered LL Flooring's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LL Flooring stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LL Flooring stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.009 |
MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0406 |
MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0209 |
SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.3928 |
Predictive Modules for LL Flooring
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LL Flooring Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LL Flooring's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for LL Flooring
For every potential investor in LL Flooring, whether a beginner or expert, LL Flooring's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LL Flooring Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LL Flooring. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LL Flooring's price trends.LL Flooring Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LL Flooring stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LL Flooring could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LL Flooring by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Risk & Return | Correlation |
LL Flooring Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LL Flooring's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LL Flooring's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
LL Flooring Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LL Flooring stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LL Flooring shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LL Flooring stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LL Flooring Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
LL Flooring Risk Indicators
The analysis of LL Flooring's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LL Flooring's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ll flooring stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation | 2.14 | |||
Standard Deviation | 2.9 | |||
Variance | 8.41 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LL Flooring to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
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When running LL Flooring's price analysis, check to measure LL Flooring's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LL Flooring is operating at the current time. Most of LL Flooring's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LL Flooring's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LL Flooring's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LL Flooring to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is LL Flooring's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LL Flooring. If investors know LL Flooring will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LL Flooring listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.78) | Earnings Share (3.59) | Revenue Per Share 31.408 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.20) | Return On Assets (0.09) |
The market value of LL Flooring Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LL Flooring that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LL Flooring's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LL Flooring's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LL Flooring's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LL Flooring's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LL Flooring's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LL Flooring is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LL Flooring's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.