Kingsoft Cloud Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| KC Stock | USD 2.75 0.08 2.83% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kingsoft Cloud Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.21. Kingsoft Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kingsoft Cloud stock prices and determine the direction of Kingsoft Cloud Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kingsoft Cloud's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Kingsoft Cloud's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Kingsoft Cloud's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Kingsoft Cloud fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kingsoft Cloud to cross-verify your projections. Kingsoft |
Open Interest Against 2024-06-21 Kingsoft Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kingsoft Cloud's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kingsoft Cloud's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kingsoft Cloud stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kingsoft Cloud's open interest, investors have to compare it to Kingsoft Cloud's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kingsoft Cloud is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kingsoft. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Kingsoft Cloud cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Kingsoft Cloud's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Kingsoft Cloud's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Kingsoft Cloud is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Kingsoft Cloud Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period. Kingsoft Cloud Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of June
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kingsoft Cloud Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kingsoft Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kingsoft Cloud's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kingsoft Cloud Stock Forecast Pattern
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Kingsoft Cloud Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kingsoft Cloud's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kingsoft Cloud's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 8.67, respectively. We have considered Kingsoft Cloud's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kingsoft Cloud stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kingsoft Cloud stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4418 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1485 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.048 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.2082 |
Predictive Modules for Kingsoft Cloud
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kingsoft Cloud Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kingsoft Cloud's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Kingsoft Cloud
For every potential investor in Kingsoft, whether a beginner or expert, Kingsoft Cloud's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kingsoft Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kingsoft. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kingsoft Cloud's price trends.Kingsoft Cloud Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kingsoft Cloud stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kingsoft Cloud could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kingsoft Cloud by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kingsoft Cloud's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kingsoft Cloud's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kingsoft Cloud Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kingsoft Cloud stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kingsoft Cloud shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kingsoft Cloud stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kingsoft Cloud Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 63007.37 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.44) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.79 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.78 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.08) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.08) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.23 |
Kingsoft Cloud Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kingsoft Cloud's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kingsoft Cloud's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kingsoft stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.09 | |||
| Variance | 37.06 | |||
| Downside Variance | 19.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 17.48 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| MSFT | Microsoft | |
| CRM | Salesforce | |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Class C |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Kingsoft Stock
When determining whether Kingsoft Cloud Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Kingsoft Cloud's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kingsoft Cloud to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Data Processing & Outsourced Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kingsoft Cloud. If investors know Kingsoft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kingsoft Cloud listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.14) | Revenue Per Share 29.194 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets (0.05) | Return On Equity (0.24) |
The market value of Kingsoft Cloud Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kingsoft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kingsoft Cloud's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kingsoft Cloud's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kingsoft Cloud's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kingsoft Cloud's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kingsoft Cloud's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kingsoft Cloud is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kingsoft Cloud's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.