Kbi Global Mutual Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| KBIWX Fund | USD 12.46 0.21 1.71% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kbi Global Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 12.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.01. Kbi Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kbi Global stock prices and determine the direction of Kbi Global Investors's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kbi Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kbi Global to cross-verify your projections. Kbi |
Most investors in Kbi Global cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, fund markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Kbi Global's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Kbi Global's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Kbi Global Investors is based on a synthetically constructed Kbi Globaldaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time. Kbi Global 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kbi Global Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 12.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kbi Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kbi Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kbi Global Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
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Kbi Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kbi Global's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kbi Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.56 and 12.91, respectively. We have considered Kbi Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kbi Global mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kbi Global mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 78.197 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0435 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1711 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0139 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.014 |
Predictive Modules for Kbi Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kbi Global Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kbi Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Kbi Global
For every potential investor in Kbi, whether a beginner or expert, Kbi Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kbi Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kbi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kbi Global's price trends.Kbi Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kbi Global mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kbi Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kbi Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kbi Global Investors Technical and Predictive Analytics
The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kbi Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kbi Global's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kbi Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kbi Global mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kbi Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kbi Global mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Kbi Global Investors entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.46 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.46 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.11 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.21 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.35 |
Kbi Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kbi Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kbi Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kbi mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5699 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5558 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7211 | |||
| Variance | 0.5199 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4618 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3089 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Kbi Global in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Kbi Global's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Kbi Global options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kbi Global to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.