ETFMG Prime Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| IPAY Etf | USD 48.44 0.62 1.26% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ETFMG Prime Mobile on the next trading day is expected to be 49.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.41. ETFMG Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ETFMG Prime stock prices and determine the direction of ETFMG Prime Mobile's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ETFMG Prime's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ETFMG Prime to cross-verify your projections. ETFMG |
Most investors in ETFMG Prime cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, etf markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the ETFMG Prime's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets ETFMG Prime's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for ETFMG Prime is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ETFMG Prime Mobile value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period. ETFMG Prime Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ETFMG Prime Mobile on the next trading day is expected to be 49.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ETFMG Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ETFMG Prime's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ETFMG Prime Etf Forecast Pattern
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ETFMG Prime Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ETFMG Prime's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ETFMG Prime's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.98 and 50.52, respectively. We have considered ETFMG Prime's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ETFMG Prime etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ETFMG Prime etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1637 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4986 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0101 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.4139 |
Predictive Modules for ETFMG Prime
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ETFMG Prime Mobile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ETFMG Prime's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for ETFMG Prime
For every potential investor in ETFMG, whether a beginner or expert, ETFMG Prime's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ETFMG Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ETFMG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ETFMG Prime's price trends.ETFMG Prime Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ETFMG Prime etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ETFMG Prime could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ETFMG Prime by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ETFMG Prime Mobile Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ETFMG Prime's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ETFMG Prime's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ETFMG Prime Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ETFMG Prime etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ETFMG Prime shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ETFMG Prime etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ETFMG Prime Mobile entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ETFMG Prime Risk Indicators
The analysis of ETFMG Prime's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ETFMG Prime's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting etfmg etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Variance | 1.62 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.01) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ETFMG Prime to cross-verify your projections. Note that the ETFMG Prime Mobile information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ETFMG Prime's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
The market value of ETFMG Prime Mobile is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ETFMG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ETFMG Prime's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ETFMG Prime's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ETFMG Prime's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ETFMG Prime's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ETFMG Prime's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ETFMG Prime is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ETFMG Prime's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.