International Bancshares Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| IBOC Stock | USD 54.69 0.28 0.51% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of International Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 54.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.98. International Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast International Bancshares stock prices and determine the direction of International Bancshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of International Bancshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
International |
Open Interest Against 2024-06-21 International Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast International Bancshares' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in International Bancshares' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for International Bancshares stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current International Bancshares' open interest, investors have to compare it to International Bancshares' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of International Bancshares is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in International. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in International Bancshares cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the International Bancshares' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets International Bancshares' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for International Bancshares is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility. International Bancshares Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of June
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of International Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 54.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 1.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict International Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that International Bancshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
International Bancshares Stock Forecast Pattern
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International Bancshares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting International Bancshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. International Bancshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 53.19 and 56.19, respectively. We have considered International Bancshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of International Bancshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent International Bancshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4677 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0362 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7794 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0139 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 45.985 |
Predictive Modules for International Bancshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of International Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for International Bancshares
For every potential investor in International, whether a beginner or expert, International Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. International Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in International. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying International Bancshares' price trends.International Bancshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with International Bancshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of International Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing International Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
International Bancshares Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of International Bancshares' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of International Bancshares' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
International Bancshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how International Bancshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading International Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying International Bancshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify International Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
International Bancshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of International Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in International Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting international stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Variance | 2.18 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in International Stock
When determining whether International Bancshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of International Bancshares' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of International Bancshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on International Bancshares Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of International Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade International Stock refer to our How to Trade International Stock guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of International Bancshares. If investors know International will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about International Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 1.29 | Earnings Share 6.55 | Revenue Per Share 12.801 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of International Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of International that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of International Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is International Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because International Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect International Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between International Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.