Flotek Industries Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| FTK Stock | USD 4.07 0.41 11.20% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Flotek Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 3.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.77. Flotek Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Flotek Industries stock prices and determine the direction of Flotek Industries's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Flotek Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Flotek Industries' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Flotek Industries' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Flotek Industries fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Flotek Industries to cross-verify your projections. Flotek |
Open Interest Against 2024-06-21 Flotek Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Flotek Industries' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Flotek Industries' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Flotek Industries stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Flotek Industries' open interest, investors have to compare it to Flotek Industries' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Flotek Industries is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Flotek. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Flotek Industries cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Flotek Industries' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Flotek Industries' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Flotek Industries price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X. Flotek Industries Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of June
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Flotek Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 3.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.77.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Flotek Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Flotek Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Flotek Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
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Flotek Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Flotek Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Flotek Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 8.27, respectively. We have considered Flotek Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Flotek Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Flotek Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0564 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1898 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0555 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.7689 |
Predictive Modules for Flotek Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flotek Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flotek Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Flotek Industries
For every potential investor in Flotek, whether a beginner or expert, Flotek Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Flotek Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Flotek. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Flotek Industries' price trends.Flotek Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Flotek Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Flotek Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Flotek Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Flotek Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Flotek Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Flotek Industries' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Flotek Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Flotek Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Flotek Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Flotek Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Flotek Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Flotek Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of Flotek Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Flotek Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting flotek stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.47 | |||
| Variance | 19.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.58) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Flotek Industries to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Flotek Stock please use our How to buy in Flotek Stock guide.You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Complementary Tools for Flotek Stock analysis
When running Flotek Industries' price analysis, check to measure Flotek Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flotek Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Flotek Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flotek Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flotek Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flotek Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Flotek Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Flotek Industries. If investors know Flotek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Flotek Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.26) | Revenue Per Share 6.428 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.16) | Return On Assets 0.0025 | Return On Equity 0.0613 |
The market value of Flotek Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Flotek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Flotek Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Flotek Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Flotek Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Flotek Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Flotek Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Flotek Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Flotek Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.