Eastern Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| EML Stock | USD 29.06 0.57 2.00% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Eastern Co on the next trading day is expected to be 27.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.66. Eastern Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Eastern stock prices and determine the direction of Eastern Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Eastern's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastern to cross-verify your projections. Eastern |
Most investors in Eastern cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Eastern's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Eastern's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Eastern polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Eastern Co as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Eastern Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Eastern Co on the next trading day is expected to be 27.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13, mean absolute percentage error of 1.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eastern Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eastern's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Eastern Stock Forecast Pattern
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Eastern Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Eastern's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eastern's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.71 and 30.95, respectively. We have considered Eastern's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eastern stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eastern stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7874 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1256 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0396 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 68.6612 |
Predictive Modules for Eastern
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eastern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eastern's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Eastern
For every potential investor in Eastern, whether a beginner or expert, Eastern's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eastern Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eastern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eastern's price trends.Eastern Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eastern stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eastern could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eastern by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Eastern Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eastern's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eastern's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Eastern Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eastern stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eastern shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eastern stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eastern Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Eastern Risk Indicators
The analysis of Eastern's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eastern's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eastern stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.12 | |||
| Variance | 9.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.31) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastern to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for Eastern Stock analysis
When running Eastern's price analysis, check to measure Eastern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eastern is operating at the current time. Most of Eastern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eastern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eastern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eastern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Eastern's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eastern. If investors know Eastern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eastern listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Eastern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eastern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eastern's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eastern's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eastern's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eastern's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eastern's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eastern is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eastern's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.