Dime Community Preferred Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| DCOMP Preferred Stock | USD 18.00 0.30 1.69% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dime Community Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 17.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.49. Dime Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Dime Community stock prices and determine the direction of Dime Community Bancshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dime Community's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dime Community to cross-verify your projections. Dime |
Most investors in Dime Community cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, preferred stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Dime Community's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Dime Community's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Dime Community is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Dime Community Bancshares value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period. Dime Community Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dime Community Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 17.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dime Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dime Community's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dime Community Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dime Community | Dime Community Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Dime Community Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dime Community's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dime Community's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.15 and 19.47, respectively. We have considered Dime Community's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dime Community preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dime Community preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7206 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2539 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0151 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.4905 |
Predictive Modules for Dime Community
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dime Community Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dime Community's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Dime Community
For every potential investor in Dime, whether a beginner or expert, Dime Community's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dime Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dime. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dime Community's price trends.Dime Community Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dime Community preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dime Community could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dime Community by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dime Community Bancshares Technical and Predictive Analytics
The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dime Community's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dime Community's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dime Community Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dime Community preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dime Community shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dime Community preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dime Community Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Dime Community Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dime Community's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dime Community's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dime preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.84 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.96 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.51) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dime Community to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Dime Preferred Stock analysis
When running Dime Community's price analysis, check to measure Dime Community's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dime Community is operating at the current time. Most of Dime Community's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dime Community's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dime Community's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dime Community to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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