Crane NXT Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| CXT Stock | 60.98 0.08 0.13% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Crane NXT Co on the next trading day is expected to be 60.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.12. Crane Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Crane NXT stock prices and determine the direction of Crane NXT Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Crane NXT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Crane NXT's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Crane NXT's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Crane NXT fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crane NXT to cross-verify your projections. Crane |
Most investors in Crane NXT cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Crane NXT's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Crane NXT's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Crane NXT polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Crane NXT Co as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Crane NXT Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Crane NXT Co on the next trading day is expected to be 60.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 1.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crane Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crane NXT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Crane NXT Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Crane NXT | Crane NXT Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Crane NXT Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Crane NXT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Crane NXT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 59.03 and 61.85, respectively. We have considered Crane NXT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crane NXT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crane NXT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.1073 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7232 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 44.1182 |
Predictive Modules for Crane NXT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crane NXT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crane NXT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Crane NXT
For every potential investor in Crane, whether a beginner or expert, Crane NXT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crane Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crane. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crane NXT's price trends.Crane NXT Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Crane NXT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Crane NXT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Crane NXT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Crane NXT Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Crane NXT's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Crane NXT's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Crane NXT Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crane NXT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crane NXT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Crane NXT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Crane NXT Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Crane NXT Risk Indicators
The analysis of Crane NXT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crane NXT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crane stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.97 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Crane NXT
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Crane NXT position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Crane NXT will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Crane Stock
| 0.52 | ATS | ATS Corporation | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | RR | Richtech Robotics Class | PairCorr |
| 0.44 | BW | Babcock Wilcox Enter | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | CVV | CVD Equipment | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Crane NXT could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Crane NXT when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Crane NXT - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Crane NXT Co to buy it.
The correlation of Crane NXT is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Crane NXT moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Crane NXT moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Crane NXT can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crane NXT to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for Crane Stock analysis
When running Crane NXT's price analysis, check to measure Crane NXT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crane NXT is operating at the current time. Most of Crane NXT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crane NXT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crane NXT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crane NXT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Crane NXT's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Crane NXT. If investors know Crane will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Crane NXT listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | Dividend Share 0.58 | Earnings Share 3.17 | Revenue Per Share 24.19 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Crane NXT is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Crane that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crane NXT's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crane NXT's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Crane NXT's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crane NXT's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Crane NXT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Crane NXT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crane NXT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.