Bank Bukopin Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| BBKP Stock | IDR 51.00 2.00 3.77% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Bank Bukopin Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 54.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 129.43. Bank Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bank Bukopin stock prices and determine the direction of Bank Bukopin Tbk's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bank Bukopin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank Bukopin to cross-verify your projections. Bank |
Most investors in Bank Bukopin cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Bank Bukopin's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Bank Bukopin's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Bank Bukopin polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Bank Bukopin Tbk as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Bank Bukopin Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of June
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Bank Bukopin Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 54.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.12, mean absolute percentage error of 7.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 129.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank Bukopin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bank Bukopin Stock Forecast Pattern
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Bank Bukopin Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bank Bukopin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank Bukopin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 51.15 and 57.68, respectively. We have considered Bank Bukopin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank Bukopin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank Bukopin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.0943 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.1217 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0333 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 129.4256 |
Predictive Modules for Bank Bukopin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Bukopin Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank Bukopin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Bank Bukopin
For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank Bukopin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank Bukopin's price trends.Bank Bukopin Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bank Bukopin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bank Bukopin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bank Bukopin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bank Bukopin Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bank Bukopin's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bank Bukopin's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bank Bukopin Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank Bukopin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank Bukopin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank Bukopin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank Bukopin Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bank Bukopin Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bank Bukopin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank Bukopin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.26 | |||
| Variance | 10.65 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock
Bank Bukopin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank Bukopin security.