AXT Stock Forecast - Market Facilitation Index
| AXTI Stock | USD 3.61 0.04 1.12% |
AXT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AXT stock prices and determine the direction of AXT Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AXT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although AXT's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of AXT's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of AXT fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AXT to cross-verify your projections. AXT |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 AXT Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast AXT's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in AXT's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for AXT stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current AXT's open interest, investors have to compare it to AXT's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of AXT is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in AXT. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in AXT cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the AXT's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets AXT's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Market Facilitation Index is simply a difference between period high and low prices divided by period trading volume.| Check AXT Volatility | Backtest AXT | Information Ratio |
AXT Trading Date Momentum
| On May 10 2024 AXT Inc was traded for 3.61 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 3.69 and the lowest listed price was 3.51 . The trading volume for the day was 404.7 K. The trading history from May 10, 2024 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.11% . |
Market Facilitation Index was developed by Dr. Bill Williams. This indicator can help to determine either strong or week signal that can follow the current trend line by looking at how Market Facilitation index correlates with trading volume over time.
| Compare AXT to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for AXT
For every potential investor in AXT, whether a beginner or expert, AXT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AXT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AXT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AXT's price trends.AXT Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AXT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AXT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AXT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AXT Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AXT's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AXT's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AXT Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AXT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AXT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AXT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AXT Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 19741.46 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2222 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.6 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.03 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 |
AXT Risk Indicators
The analysis of AXT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AXT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting axt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.4 | |||
| Variance | 130.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 58.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 48.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with AXT
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AXT position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AXT will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against AXT Stock
| 0.47 | DT | Dynatrace Holdings LLC Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to AXT could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AXT when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AXT - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AXT Inc to buy it.
The correlation of AXT is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AXT moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AXT Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AXT can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AXT to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Complementary Tools for AXT Stock analysis
When running AXT's price analysis, check to measure AXT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AXT is operating at the current time. Most of AXT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AXT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AXT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AXT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AXT's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AXT. If investors know AXT will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AXT listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | Earnings Share (0.39) | Revenue Per Share 1.849 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.169 | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of AXT Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AXT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AXT's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AXT's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AXT's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AXT's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AXT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AXT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AXT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.