Aker Solutions Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| AKSO Stock | NOK 44.10 0.20 0.46% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Aker Solutions ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 44.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.47. Aker Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Aker Solutions stock prices and determine the direction of Aker Solutions ASA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Aker Solutions' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aker Solutions to cross-verify your projections. Aker |
Most investors in Aker Solutions cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Aker Solutions' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Aker Solutions' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Aker Solutions ASA is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility. Aker Solutions 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 22nd of May
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Aker Solutions ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 44.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 1.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aker Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aker Solutions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aker Solutions Stock Forecast Pattern
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Aker Solutions Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aker Solutions' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aker Solutions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.67 and 46.57, respectively. We have considered Aker Solutions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aker Solutions stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aker Solutions stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.0166 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4354 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7801 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0201 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 44.465 |
Predictive Modules for Aker Solutions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aker Solutions ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aker Solutions' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Aker Solutions
For every potential investor in Aker, whether a beginner or expert, Aker Solutions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aker Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aker. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aker Solutions' price trends.Aker Solutions Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aker Solutions stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aker Solutions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aker Solutions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aker Solutions ASA Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Aker Solutions' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Aker Solutions' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aker Solutions Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aker Solutions stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aker Solutions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aker Solutions stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aker Solutions ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Aker Solutions Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aker Solutions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aker Solutions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aker stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Variance | 6.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.15 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis
Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Aker Solutions ASA using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.Build Optimal Portfolios
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aker Solutions to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Complementary Tools for Aker Stock analysis
When running Aker Solutions' price analysis, check to measure Aker Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aker Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of Aker Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aker Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aker Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aker Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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