Maming Enam Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| AKSI Stock | IDR 127.00 4.00 3.25% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Maming Enam Sembilan on the next trading day is expected to be 130.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 282.76. Maming Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Maming Enam stock prices and determine the direction of Maming Enam Sembilan's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Maming Enam's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Maming Enam to cross-verify your projections. Maming |
Most investors in Maming Enam cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Maming Enam's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Maming Enam's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Maming Enam - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Maming Enam prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Maming Enam price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Maming Enam Sembilan. Maming Enam Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of May 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Maming Enam Sembilan on the next trading day is expected to be 130.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.71, mean absolute percentage error of 67.93, and the sum of the absolute errors of 282.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Maming Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Maming Enam's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Maming Enam Stock Forecast Pattern
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Maming Enam Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Maming Enam's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Maming Enam's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 127.50 and 132.78, respectively. We have considered Maming Enam's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Maming Enam stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Maming Enam stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.9015 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.7127 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0313 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 282.7617 |
Predictive Modules for Maming Enam
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maming Enam Sembilan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Maming Enam's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Maming Enam
For every potential investor in Maming, whether a beginner or expert, Maming Enam's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Maming Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Maming. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Maming Enam's price trends.Maming Enam Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Maming Enam stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Maming Enam could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Maming Enam by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Maming Enam Sembilan Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Maming Enam's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Maming Enam's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Maming Enam Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Maming Enam stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Maming Enam shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Maming Enam stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Maming Enam Sembilan entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Maming Enam Risk Indicators
The analysis of Maming Enam's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Maming Enam's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting maming stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.27 | |||
| Variance | 27.73 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis
Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Maming Enam Sembilan using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.Build Optimal Portfolios
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Maming Enam to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for Maming Stock analysis
When running Maming Enam's price analysis, check to measure Maming Enam's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Maming Enam is operating at the current time. Most of Maming Enam's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Maming Enam's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Maming Enam's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Maming Enam to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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