Atlas Energy Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| AESI Stock | 23.73 0.89 3.61% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Atlas Energy Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 24.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.59. Atlas Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Atlas Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Atlas Energy Solutions's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Atlas Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atlas Energy to cross-verify your projections. Atlas |
Most investors in Atlas Energy cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Atlas Energy's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Atlas Energy's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Atlas Energy polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Atlas Energy Solutions as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Atlas Energy Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Atlas Energy Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 24.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.59.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atlas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atlas Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Atlas Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
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Atlas Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Atlas Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atlas Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.16 and 26.44, respectively. We have considered Atlas Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atlas Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atlas Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7944 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4032 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0183 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.5939 |
Predictive Modules for Atlas Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlas Energy Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlas Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Atlas Energy
For every potential investor in Atlas, whether a beginner or expert, Atlas Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atlas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atlas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atlas Energy's price trends.View Atlas Energy Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Atlas Energy Solutions Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Atlas Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Atlas Energy's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Atlas Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atlas Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atlas Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atlas Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Atlas Energy Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 25768.94 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.91) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.98 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.83) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.89) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 59.65 |
Atlas Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Atlas Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atlas Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atlas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Variance | 4.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.17 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Atlas Energy Solutions offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Atlas Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Atlas Energy Solutions Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Atlas Energy Solutions Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atlas Energy to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Complementary Tools for Atlas Stock analysis
When running Atlas Energy's price analysis, check to measure Atlas Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atlas Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Atlas Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atlas Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atlas Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atlas Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Atlas Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atlas Energy. If investors know Atlas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atlas Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Atlas Energy Solutions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atlas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atlas Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atlas Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atlas Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atlas Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atlas Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atlas Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atlas Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.