AerCap Holdings Stock Forecast - Skewness
| AER Stock | USD 91.38 0.31 0.34% |
AerCap Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AerCap Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of AerCap Holdings NV's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AerCap Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although AerCap Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of AerCap Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of AerCap Holdings fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AerCap Holdings to cross-verify your projections. AerCap |
Open Interest Against 2024-06-21 AerCap Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast AerCap Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in AerCap Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for AerCap Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current AerCap Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to AerCap Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of AerCap Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in AerCap. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in AerCap Holdings cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the AerCap Holdings' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets AerCap Holdings' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
| Previous Skewness | Skewness | Trend |
| 0 | 0 |
| Check AerCap Holdings Volatility | Backtest AerCap Holdings | Information Ratio |
AerCap Holdings Trading Date Momentum
| On May 22 2024 AerCap Holdings NV was traded for 91.38 at the closing time. Highest AerCap Holdings's price during the trading hours was 92.23 and the lowest price during the day was 90.68 . The net volume was 986.9 K. The overall trading history on the 22nd of May did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.34% . |
| Compare AerCap Holdings to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for AerCap Holdings
For every potential investor in AerCap, whether a beginner or expert, AerCap Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AerCap Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AerCap. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AerCap Holdings' price trends.AerCap Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AerCap Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AerCap Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AerCap Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AerCap Holdings NV Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AerCap Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AerCap Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AerCap Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AerCap Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AerCap Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AerCap Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AerCap Holdings NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 16586.06 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.20) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 91.46 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 91.43 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.31) |
AerCap Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of AerCap Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AerCap Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aercap stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9918 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Variance | 1.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9837 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AerCap Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Note that the AerCap Holdings NV information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AerCap Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for AerCap Stock analysis
When running AerCap Holdings' price analysis, check to measure AerCap Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AerCap Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of AerCap Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AerCap Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AerCap Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AerCap Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AerCap Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AerCap Holdings. If investors know AerCap will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AerCap Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.687 | Earnings Share 15 | Revenue Per Share 36.223 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.082 | Return On Assets 0.0362 |
The market value of AerCap Holdings NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AerCap that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AerCap Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AerCap Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AerCap Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AerCap Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AerCap Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AerCap Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AerCap Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.