Speed Tech Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| 5457 Stock | TWD 62.60 2.70 4.51% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Speed Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 58.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 138.99. Speed Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Speed Tech stock prices and determine the direction of Speed Tech's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Speed Tech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Speed Tech to cross-verify your projections. Speed |
Most investors in Speed Tech cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Speed Tech's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Speed Tech's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Speed Tech price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X. Speed Tech Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Speed Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 58.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28, mean absolute percentage error of 7.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 138.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Speed Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Speed Tech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Speed Tech Stock Forecast Pattern
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Speed Tech Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Speed Tech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Speed Tech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 56.02 and 61.30, respectively. We have considered Speed Tech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Speed Tech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Speed Tech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.1065 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2785 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.037 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 138.9894 |
Predictive Modules for Speed Tech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Speed Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Speed Tech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Speed Tech
For every potential investor in Speed, whether a beginner or expert, Speed Tech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Speed Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Speed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Speed Tech's price trends.Speed Tech Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Speed Tech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Speed Tech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Speed Tech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Speed Tech Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Speed Tech's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Speed Tech's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Speed Tech Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Speed Tech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Speed Tech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Speed Tech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Speed Tech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Speed Tech Risk Indicators
The analysis of Speed Tech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Speed Tech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting speed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.64 | |||
| Variance | 6.97 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Speed Tech to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Complementary Tools for Speed Stock analysis
When running Speed Tech's price analysis, check to measure Speed Tech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Speed Tech is operating at the current time. Most of Speed Tech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Speed Tech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Speed Tech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Speed Tech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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