Asia Seed Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

154030 Stock  KRW 2,590  5.00  0.19%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Asia Seed CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 2,588 with a mean absolute deviation of  30.17  and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,780. Asia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Asia Seed stock prices and determine the direction of Asia Seed CoLtd's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Asia Seed's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Asia Seed to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Asia Seed cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Asia Seed's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Asia Seed's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Asia Seed is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Asia Seed Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Asia Seed CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 2,588 with a mean absolute deviation of 30.17, mean absolute percentage error of 1,467, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,780.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Asia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Asia Seed's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Asia Seed Stock Forecast Pattern

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Asia Seed Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Asia Seed's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Asia Seed's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,586 and 2,589, respectively. We have considered Asia Seed's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,590
2,588
Expected Value
2,589
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Asia Seed stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Asia Seed stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.7254
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 6.7797
MADMean absolute deviation30.1695
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0115
SAESum of the absolute errors1780.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Asia Seed CoLtd price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Asia Seed. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Asia Seed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asia Seed CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Asia Seed's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,5892,5902,591
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,1222,1242,849
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,4422,5832,724
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Asia Seed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Asia Seed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Asia Seed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Asia Seed CoLtd.

Other Forecasting Options for Asia Seed

For every potential investor in Asia, whether a beginner or expert, Asia Seed's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Asia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Asia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Asia Seed's price trends.

Asia Seed Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Asia Seed stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Asia Seed could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Asia Seed by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Asia Seed CoLtd Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Asia Seed's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Asia Seed's current price.

Asia Seed Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Asia Seed stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Asia Seed shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Asia Seed stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Asia Seed CoLtd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Asia Seed Risk Indicators

The analysis of Asia Seed's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Asia Seed's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Asia Seed to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Asia Seed CoLtd information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Asia Seed's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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When running Asia Seed's price analysis, check to measure Asia Seed's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Asia Seed is operating at the current time. Most of Asia Seed's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Asia Seed's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Asia Seed's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Asia Seed to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Asia Seed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Asia Seed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Asia Seed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.