Kumho Petro Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| 011785 Stock | 67,800 200.00 0.29% |
Kumho |
Most investors in Kumho Petro cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Kumho Petro's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Kumho Petro's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Kumho Petro is based on an artificially constructed time series of Kumho Petro daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time. Kumho Petro 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of June
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kumho Petro Chemical on the next trading day is expected to be 67,962 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,541, mean absolute percentage error of 3,588,718, and the sum of the absolute errors of 81,662.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kumho Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kumho Petro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kumho Petro Stock Forecast Pattern
Kumho Petro Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kumho Petro's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kumho Petro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 67,961 and 67,964, respectively. We have considered Kumho Petro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kumho Petro stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kumho Petro stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5008 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 91.2736 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1540.8019 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0236 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 81662.5 |
Predictive Modules for Kumho Petro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kumho Petro Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kumho Petro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kumho Petro. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kumho Petro's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kumho Petro's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kumho Petro Chemical.
Other Forecasting Options for Kumho Petro
For every potential investor in Kumho, whether a beginner or expert, Kumho Petro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kumho Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kumho. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kumho Petro's price trends.Kumho Petro Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kumho Petro stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kumho Petro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kumho Petro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kumho Petro Chemical Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kumho Petro's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kumho Petro's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kumho Petro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kumho Petro stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kumho Petro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kumho Petro stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kumho Petro Chemical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.032 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.09) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 67600.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 67666.67 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2200.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 100.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (200.00) |
Kumho Petro Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kumho Petro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kumho Petro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kumho stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Variance | 2.04 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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