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American Water Earnings Estimate

AWK Stock  USD 128.75  2.80  2.22%   
The next projected EPS of American Water is estimated to be 1.51 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.49 to a high of 1.56. American Water's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 4.94. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for American Water Works is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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American Water is projected to generate 1.51 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2024. American Water earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected American Water Works EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Many public companies, such as American Water, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing American Water's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across American Water's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. At this time, American Water's Operating Profit Margin is quite stable compared to the past year. Net Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.23 this year, although the value of Gross Profit will most likely fall to about 1.3 B.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Water Works. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.

American Water Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of American Water's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of American Water is estimated to be 1.51 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.49 to a high of 1.56. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for American Water Works is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.93
1.49
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.51
1.56
Highest

American Water Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of American Water's value are higher than the current market price of the American Water stock. In this case, investors may conclude that American Water is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and American Water's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2024Current EPS (TTM)
1594.05%
0.93
1.51
4.94

American Water Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by American Water Works analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge American Water's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only American Water's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

American Water Quarterly Gross Profit

407 Million

At this time, American Water's Retained Earnings are quite stable compared to the past year. Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to rise to about 1.5 B this year, although the value of Earnings Yield will most likely fall to 0.04. The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 137.7 M. The value of Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to slide to about 598.9 M.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Water's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
127.51128.81130.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
115.88137.99139.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
131.81133.10134.40
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
136.32149.80166.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Water. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Water's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Water's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Water Works. Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of American assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards American Water. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving American Water's stock price in the short term.

American Water Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of American Water refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering American Water Works predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of American Water, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

American Water Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as American Water, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of American Water should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

American Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact American Water's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-05-01
2024-03-310.980.93-0.05
2024-02-14
2023-12-310.830.920.0910 
2023-11-01
2023-09-301.651.70.05
2023-07-26
2023-06-301.311.470.1612 
2023-04-26
2023-03-310.920.91-0.01
2023-02-15
2022-12-310.780.73-0.05
2022-10-31
2022-09-301.511.630.12
2022-07-27
2022-06-301.161.20.04
2022-04-27
2022-03-310.770.870.112 
2022-02-16
2021-12-310.850.59-0.2630 
2021-11-02
2021-09-301.531.530.0
2021-08-02
2021-06-301.081.140.06
2021-05-03
2021-03-310.730.730.0
2021-02-24
2020-12-310.80.80.0
2020-11-04
2020-09-301.381.460.08
2020-08-05
2020-06-300.960.970.01
2020-05-06
2020-03-310.650.670.02
2020-02-18
2019-12-310.730.730.0
2019-10-30
2019-09-301.31.330.03
2019-07-31
2019-06-300.930.940.01
2019-05-01
2019-03-310.630.61-0.02
2019-02-19
2018-12-310.690.690.0
2018-10-31
2018-09-301.161.20.04
2018-08-01
2018-06-300.810.830.02
2018-05-02
2018-03-310.550.590.04
2018-02-20
2017-12-310.660.690.03
2017-11-01
2017-09-301.081.080.0
2017-08-02
2017-06-300.790.75-0.04
2017-05-03
2017-03-310.520.520.0
2017-02-21
2016-12-310.570.570.0
2016-11-02
2016-09-301.011.050.04
2016-08-03
2016-06-300.730.770.04
2016-05-04
2016-03-310.460.460.0
2016-02-25
2015-12-310.550.550.0
2015-11-04
2015-09-300.940.960.02
2015-08-05
2015-06-300.670.680.01
2015-05-06
2015-03-310.410.440.03
2015-02-24
2014-12-310.510.520.01
2014-11-05
2014-09-300.910.920.01
2014-08-06
2014-06-300.640.63-0.01
2014-05-07
2014-03-310.340.40.0617 
2014-02-26
2013-12-310.450.470.02
2013-11-06
2013-09-300.850.84-0.01
2013-08-07
2013-06-300.610.57-0.04
2013-05-07
2013-03-310.320.320.0
2013-02-26
2012-12-310.340.32-0.02
2012-11-07
2012-09-300.820.870.05
2012-08-02
2012-06-300.490.660.1734 
2012-05-02
2012-03-310.270.25-0.02
2012-02-27
2011-12-310.320.490.1753 
2011-11-02
2011-09-300.760.760.0
2011-08-03
2011-06-300.460.460.0
2011-05-04
2011-03-310.220.240.02
2011-02-25
2010-12-310.240.23-0.01
2010-11-03
2010-09-300.610.710.116 
2010-08-04
2010-06-300.360.420.0616 
2010-05-04
2010-03-310.180.180.0
2010-03-01
2009-12-310.240.21-0.0312 
2009-11-09
2009-09-300.540.52-0.02
2009-08-05
2009-06-300.310.320.01
2009-05-05
2009-03-310.150.190.0426 
2009-02-25
2008-12-310.260.23-0.0311 
2008-11-05
2008-09-300.550.550.0
2008-08-11
2008-06-300.350.28-0.0720 

About American Water Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of American Water earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current American Water estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as American Water fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings1.7 B1.7 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity1.5 B1.5 B
Earnings Yield 0.04  0.04 
Price Earnings Ratio 26.99  13.53 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio 3.20  3.36 

American Water Investors Sentiment

The influence of American Water's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in American. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to American Water's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Water Works. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
American Water's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for American Water's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average American Water's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on American Water.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards American Water in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, American Water's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from American Water options trading.

Pair Trading with American Water

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American Water position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Water will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with American Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to American Water could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace American Water when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back American Water - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling American Water Works to buy it.
The correlation of American Water is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as American Water moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if American Water Works moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American Water can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether American Water Works is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if American Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about American Water Works Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about American Water Works Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Water Works. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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Is American Water's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Water. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Water listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.043
Dividend Share
2.83
Earnings Share
4.94
Revenue Per Share
22.059
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.078
The market value of American Water Works is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Water's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Water's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Water's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Water's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Water's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Water is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Water's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.