Vanguard Intermediate Term Treasury Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VFIUX Fund  USD 9.89  0.03  0.30%   
The entity has a beta of -0.0988, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vanguard Intermediate-ter are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Vanguard Intermediate-ter is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Vanguard Intermediate Term Treasury has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Intermediate-ter is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio0.1000
  

Vanguard Intermediate-ter Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,002  in Vanguard Intermediate Term Treasury on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (13.00) from holding Vanguard Intermediate Term Treasury or give up 1.3% of portfolio value over 90 days. Vanguard Intermediate Term Treasury is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.2876% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Vanguard, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Intermediate-ter is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 2.61 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.2 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Vanguard Intermediate-ter Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
9.89
Please note that Vanguard Intermediate-ter's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Vanguard Intermediate-ter has a current Real Value of $9.41 per share. The regular price of the fund is $9.89. We determine the value of Vanguard Intermediate-ter from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Vanguard Intermediate-ter is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vanguard Mutual Fund. However, Vanguard Intermediate-ter's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.89 Real  9.41 Hype  9.89 Naive  9.93
The intrinsic value of Vanguard Intermediate-ter's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vanguard Intermediate-ter's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.41
Real Value
10.88
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vanguard Intermediate Term Treasury helps investors to forecast how Vanguard mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vanguard Intermediate-ter more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vanguard Intermediate-ter's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.739.819.89
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.609.8910.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.649.9310.22
Details

Vanguard Intermediate-ter Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Intermediate-ter's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Vanguard Intermediate Term Treasury, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Vanguard Intermediate-ter's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0706

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Negative ReturnsVFIUX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.29
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.02
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.07
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Vanguard Intermediate-ter is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Vanguard Intermediate-ter by adding Vanguard Intermediate-ter to a well-diversified portfolio.

Vanguard Intermediate-ter Fundamentals Growth

Vanguard Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard Intermediate-ter, and Vanguard Intermediate-ter fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vanguard Mutual Fund performance.

About Vanguard Intermediate-ter Performance

Evaluating Vanguard Intermediate-ter's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vanguard Intermediate-ter has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Intermediate-ter has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities, which include bills, bonds, and notes issued by the U.S. Treasury. The advisor expects to maintain a dollar-weighted average maturity of 5 to 10 years. The fund may invest in derivatives instruments,such as options,futures contracts,and other swap agreements.

Things to note about Vanguard Intermediate-ter performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Intermediate-ter for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Intermediate-ter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vanguard Intermediate-ter generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
Vanguard Intermediate-ter keeps about 99.0% of its net assets in bonds
Evaluating Vanguard Intermediate-ter's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vanguard Intermediate-ter's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Vanguard Intermediate-ter's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vanguard Intermediate-ter's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vanguard Intermediate-ter's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vanguard Intermediate-ter's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vanguard Intermediate-ter's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vanguard Intermediate-ter's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Vanguard Intermediate-ter's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vanguard Intermediate-ter's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vanguard Intermediate-ter's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Intermediate-ter financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Intermediate-ter security.
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