NORTHROP GRUMMAN P Market Value

666807BJ0   79.32  1.81  2.23%   
NORTHROP's market value is the price at which a share of NORTHROP trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NORTHROP GRUMMAN P investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NORTHROP GRUMMAN P and determine expected loss or profit from investing in NORTHROP over a given investment horizon.
Check out NORTHROP Correlation, NORTHROP Volatility and NORTHROP Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NORTHROP.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between NORTHROP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NORTHROP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NORTHROP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

NORTHROP 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NORTHROP's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NORTHROP.
0.00
12/07/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in NORTHROP on December 7, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NORTHROP GRUMMAN P or generate 0.0% return on investment in NORTHROP over 360 days. NORTHROP is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Bank of America, GE Aerospace, Dupont De, International Business, and McDonalds. More

NORTHROP Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NORTHROP's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NORTHROP GRUMMAN P upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

NORTHROP Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NORTHROP's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NORTHROP's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NORTHROP historical prices to predict the future NORTHROP's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.2379.3280.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.8867.9787.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
80.2981.3882.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
77.3280.2783.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NORTHROP. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NORTHROP's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NORTHROP's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NORTHROP GRUMMAN P.

NORTHROP GRUMMAN P Backtested Returns

NORTHROP GRUMMAN P has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0964, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0964% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. NORTHROP exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify NORTHROP's Mean Deviation of 0.8699, risk adjusted performance of 0.0074, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.17) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The bond secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0255, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, NORTHROP's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding NORTHROP is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.47  

Modest reverse predictability

NORTHROP GRUMMAN P has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NORTHROP time series from 7th of December 2023 to 4th of June 2024 and 4th of June 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NORTHROP GRUMMAN P price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current NORTHROP price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.47
Spearman Rank Test-0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.43

NORTHROP GRUMMAN P lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is NORTHROP bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting NORTHROP's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of NORTHROP returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that NORTHROP has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

NORTHROP regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If NORTHROP bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if NORTHROP bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in NORTHROP bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

NORTHROP Lagged Returns

When evaluating NORTHROP's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of NORTHROP bond have on its future price. NORTHROP autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, NORTHROP autocorrelation shows the relationship between NORTHROP bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NORTHROP GRUMMAN P.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in NORTHROP Bond

NORTHROP financial ratios help investors to determine whether NORTHROP Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NORTHROP with respect to the benefits of owning NORTHROP security.