American Funds Tax Exempt Fund Market Value
| TEPFX Fund | USD 9.70 0.01 0.10% |
| Symbol | American |
American Funds 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Funds' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Funds.
| 08/17/2024 |
| 09/16/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in American Funds on August 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Funds Tax Exempt or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Funds over 30 days. American Funds is related to or competes with Income Fund, New World, American Mutual, American Mutual, American Funds, American Funds, and Income Fund. The fund invests in a mix of American Funds fixed income funds More
American Funds Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Funds' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Funds Tax Exempt upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.1398 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.70) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.6248 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.10) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.1054 |
American Funds Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Funds' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Funds' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Funds historical prices to predict the future American Funds' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2504 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.032 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0171 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.47) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.65) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Funds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Funds Tax Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider American Mutual Fund to be very steady. American Funds Tax secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.36, which signifies that the fund had a 0.36% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for American Funds Tax Exempt, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm American Funds' risk adjusted performance of 0.2504, and Mean Deviation of 0.0693 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.032%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0433, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning American Funds are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, American Funds is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.96 |
Excellent predictability
American Funds Tax Exempt has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Funds time series from 17th of August 2024 to 1st of September 2024 and 1st of September 2024 to 16th of September 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Funds Tax price movement. The serial correlation of 0.96 indicates that 96.0% of current American Funds price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.96 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 1.0 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
American Funds Tax lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is American Funds mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting American Funds' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of American Funds returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that American Funds has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
American Funds regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If American Funds mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if American Funds mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in American Funds mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
American Funds Lagged Returns
When evaluating American Funds' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of American Funds mutual fund have on its future price. American Funds autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, American Funds autocorrelation shows the relationship between American Funds mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in American Funds Tax Exempt.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in American Mutual Fund
American Funds financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Funds security.
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