Geberit AG (Switzerland) Market Value

GEBN Stock   519.80  1.00  0.19%   
Geberit AG's market value is the price at which a share of Geberit AG trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Geberit AG investors about its performance. Geberit AG is selling for under 519.80 as of the 10th of November 2024; that is 0.19 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 516.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Geberit AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Geberit AG over a given investment horizon. Check out Geberit AG Correlation, Geberit AG Volatility and Geberit AG Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Geberit AG.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Geberit AG's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geberit AG is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geberit AG's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Geberit AG 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Geberit AG's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Geberit AG.
0.00
10/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/10/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Geberit AG on October 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Geberit AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Geberit AG over 30 days. Geberit AG is related to or competes with Bucher Industries, Interroll Holding, Emmi AG, Belimo Holding, and EMS CHEMIE. More

Geberit AG Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Geberit AG's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Geberit AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Geberit AG Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Geberit AG's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Geberit AG's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Geberit AG historical prices to predict the future Geberit AG's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
518.61519.80520.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
469.66470.85571.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
522.83524.02525.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
505.74522.46539.17
Details

Geberit AG Backtested Returns

Geberit AG holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0015, which attests that the entity had a -0.0015% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Geberit AG exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Geberit AG's market risk adjusted performance of 0.1391, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.18, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Geberit AG are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Geberit AG is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Geberit AG has a negative expected return of -0.0018%. Please make sure to check out Geberit AG's mean deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Geberit AG performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

Geberit AG has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Geberit AG time series from 11th of October 2024 to 26th of October 2024 and 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Geberit AG price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Geberit AG price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance68.15

Geberit AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Geberit AG stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Geberit AG's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Geberit AG returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Geberit AG has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Geberit AG regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Geberit AG stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Geberit AG stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Geberit AG stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Geberit AG Lagged Returns

When evaluating Geberit AG's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Geberit AG stock have on its future price. Geberit AG autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Geberit AG autocorrelation shows the relationship between Geberit AG stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Geberit AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Geberit Stock Analysis

When running Geberit AG's price analysis, check to measure Geberit AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Geberit AG is operating at the current time. Most of Geberit AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Geberit AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Geberit AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Geberit AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.