Franklin North Carolina Fund Market Value

FQNCX Fund  USD 10.70  0.02  0.19%   
Franklin North's market value is the price at which a share of Franklin North trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Franklin North Carolina investors about its performance. Franklin North is trading at 10.70 as of the 2nd of October 2024; that is 0.19% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.68.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Franklin North Carolina and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Franklin North over a given investment horizon. Check out Franklin North Correlation, Franklin North Volatility and Franklin North Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Franklin North.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin North's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin North is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin North's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Franklin North 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Franklin North's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Franklin North.
0.00
08/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 1 day
10/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Franklin North on August 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Franklin North Carolina or generate 0.0% return on investment in Franklin North over 60 days. Franklin North is related to or competes with Franklin Mutual, Templeton Developing, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Templeton Foreign, and Templeton Foreign. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its total assets in securities whose interest is free from federal income taxes,... More

Franklin North Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Franklin North's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Franklin North Carolina upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Franklin North Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Franklin North's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Franklin North's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Franklin North historical prices to predict the future Franklin North's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin North's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5310.7010.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.659.8211.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4810.6510.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6410.6710.69
Details

Franklin North Carolina Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Franklin Mutual Fund to be very steady. Franklin North Carolina secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.22, which denotes the fund had a 0.22% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Franklin North Carolina, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Franklin North's Coefficient Of Variation of 445.03, mean deviation of 0.1177, and Downside Deviation of 0.2141 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0367%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0151, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Franklin North are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Franklin North is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.61  

Very good reverse predictability

Franklin North Carolina has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Franklin North time series from 3rd of August 2024 to 2nd of September 2024 and 2nd of September 2024 to 2nd of October 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Franklin North Carolina price movement. The serial correlation of -0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Franklin North price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.61
Spearman Rank Test0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Franklin North Carolina lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Franklin North mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Franklin North's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Franklin North returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Franklin North has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Franklin North regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Franklin North mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Franklin North mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Franklin North mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Franklin North Lagged Returns

When evaluating Franklin North's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Franklin North mutual fund have on its future price. Franklin North autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Franklin North autocorrelation shows the relationship between Franklin North mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Franklin North Carolina.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin North financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin North security.
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