Is Cardlytics Stock a Good Investment?

Cardlytics Investment Advice

  CDLX
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Cardlytics stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Cardlytics. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Cardlytics in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Cardlytics' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Cardlytics' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Cardlytics navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Advertising space and any emerging trends that could impact Cardlytics' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Cardlytics' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Cardlytics is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Cardlytics pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Cardlytics' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Cardlytics stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Cardlytics is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Sell
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Cardlytics. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Cardlytics is not overpriced, please confirm all Cardlytics fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Cardlytics has a price to earning of (3.47) X, we suggest you to validate Cardlytics market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Cardlytics Stock

Researching Cardlytics' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Cardlytics was currently reported as 1.38. The company recorded a loss per share of 6.4. Cardlytics had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Cardlytics is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Cardlytics' research are outlined below:
Cardlytics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cardlytics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Cardlytics currently holds 266.11 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.42, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Cardlytics has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cardlytics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 309.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (134.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 115.42 M.
Cardlytics currently holds about 157.04 M in cash with (185 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.77, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 62.0% of Cardlytics shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cardlytics Reports Q3 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates - MSN

Cardlytics Quarterly Accounts Payable

3.93 Million

Cardlytics uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Cardlytics. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Cardlytics' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
6th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Cardlytics' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Cardlytics' investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-08-07
2024-06-30-0.13-0.15-0.0215 
2024-05-08
2024-03-31-0.11-0.090.0218 
2024-03-14
2023-12-310.120.140.0216 
2023-11-08
2023-09-30-0.010.010.02200 
2021-03-01
2020-12-31-0.03-0.05-0.0266 
2020-05-11
2020-03-31-0.21-0.26-0.0523 
2022-11-01
2022-09-30-0.57-0.50.0712 
2018-08-14
2018-06-30-0.52-0.59-0.0713 

Know Cardlytics' Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Cardlytics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cardlytics backward and forwards among themselves. Cardlytics' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Cardlytics' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
665.5 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
638 K
Lpl Financial Corp2024-06-30
591.2 K
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited.2024-09-30
567.4 K
Davidson Kempner Capital Management Lp2024-06-30
550 K
General Equity Holdings Lp2024-09-30
533.5 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
410.9 K
Pb Investment Partners, L.p.2024-09-30
397.1 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
390.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
4.3 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
3.2 M
Note, although Cardlytics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cardlytics' market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 186.52 M.

Market Cap

319.25 Million

Cardlytics' profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.57)(0.60)
Return On Capital Employed(0.34)(0.35)
Return On Assets(0.23)(0.25)
Return On Equity(1.00)(1.05)
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.94) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.25) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.25.
Determining Cardlytics' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Cardlytics is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Cardlytics' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Cardlytics' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Cardlytics' accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Cardlytics. Check Cardlytics' Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Cardlytics' management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Cardlytics' management efficiency

Cardlytics has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0762) % which means that it has lost $0.0762 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (1.8612) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Cardlytics' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Cardlytics manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.6 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.35 in 2024. At this time, Cardlytics' Net Tangible Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Intangibles To Total Assets is likely to rise to 0.62 in 2024, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 440 M in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 3.69  3.88 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(5.54)(5.81)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(5.15)(5.41)
Price Book Value Ratio 2.49  3.76 
Enterprise Value Multiple(5.15)(5.41)
Price Fair Value 2.49  3.76 
Enterprise Value510.3 M484.8 M
The decision-making processes within Cardlytics are key to its success in a competitive market. By evaluating these processes, we assess the stock's potential for future gains.
Beta
1.618

Basic technical analysis of Cardlytics Stock

As of the 22nd of November, Cardlytics shows the Mean Deviation of 3.81, downside deviation of 5.71, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0105. Cardlytics technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Cardlytics' insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Cardlytics insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Cardlytics' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Cardlytics insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Cardlytics' Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Cardlytics issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Cardlytics uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Cardlytics bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Cardlytics has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Cardlytics' technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Cardlytics' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Cardlytics' intraday indicators

Cardlytics intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Cardlytics stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Cardlytics Corporate Filings

F4
15th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
12th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
6th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
21st of August 2024
An amendment to a previously filed Form 8-K
ViewVerify
Cardlytics time-series forecasting models is one of many Cardlytics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Cardlytics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Cardlytics Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Cardlytics that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Cardlytics media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Cardlytics internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Cardlytics data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Cardlytics news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Cardlytics relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Cardlytics' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Cardlytics alpha.

Cardlytics Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Cardlytics can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Cardlytics Corporate Management

Additional Tools for Cardlytics Stock Analysis

When running Cardlytics' price analysis, check to measure Cardlytics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cardlytics is operating at the current time. Most of Cardlytics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cardlytics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cardlytics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cardlytics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.