Coffee Holding Co Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

JVA Stock

USD 3.07 0.07 2.33%

Coffee Holding's odds of distress is under 20% at this time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial trouble in the near future. Chance of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Coffee balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Coffee Holding Piotroski F Score and Coffee Holding Altman Z Score analysis.

The current year's Enterprise Value is expected to grow to about 30.9 M, whereas Market Cap is forecasted to decline to about 4.4 M.

Coffee Holding Co Company chance of distress Analysis

Coffee Holding's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Coffee Holding Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 20%

Most of Coffee Holding's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Coffee Holding Co is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Coffee Holding probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Coffee Holding odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Coffee Holding Co financial health.

Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coffee Holding. If investors know Coffee will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Coffee Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.58)

Earnings Share

0.2

Revenue Per Share

13.333

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.193

Return On Assets

0.0264

The market value of Coffee Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Coffee that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Coffee Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Coffee Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Coffee Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Coffee Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Coffee Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coffee Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coffee Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Coffee Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Coffee Holding is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Coffee Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Coffee Holding's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Coffee Holding's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Coffee Holding's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Treasury Stock	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Net Tangible Assets	Total Permanent Equity	Short Term Investments	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock	Long Term Debt Total
Total Assets		0.96	0.29	0.82	0.62	0.8	0.95	0.32	-0.87	0.18	-0.03	0.38	0.87	-0.59	0.59	0.2	0.45	0.48	-0.32	0.48	0.5	-0.13	0.23	0.14	0.02	0.25	0.03
Total Stockholder Equity	0.96		0.11	0.89	0.66	0.6	0.93	0.2	-0.92	0.26	-0.07	0.2	0.92	-0.51	0.46	0.26	0.31	0.39	-0.13	0.3	0.43	-0.17	0.12	-0.06	0.01	0.09	0.13
Net Debt	0.29	0.11		0.19	-0.11	0.55	0.14	0.71	-0.16	-0.69	0.18	0.81	0.16	-0.74	0.7	0.15	0.49	0.79	-0.68	0.73	0.52	-0.13	0.57	0.5	0.33	0.65	-0.57
Retained Earnings	0.82	0.89	0.19		0.41	0.42	0.73	0.24	-0.75	0.02	0.08	0.13	0.75	-0.71	0.6	0.56	0.14	0.58	0.0	0.23	0.63	-0.14	0.16	-0.27	-0.02	-0.01	0.17
Net Receivables	0.62	0.66	-0.11	0.41		0.42	0.82	0.28	-0.71	0.55	-0.54	-0.03	0.71	0.08	-0.17	-0.25	0.32	-0.06	0.02	-0.09	-0.01	-0.45	0.31	0.27	-0.27	0.04	0.02
Total Liab	0.8	0.6	0.55	0.42	0.42		0.72	0.46	-0.53	-0.01	0.02	0.66	0.53	-0.52	0.63	-0.06	0.65	0.5	-0.64	0.7	0.43	0.01	0.38	0.54	0.04	0.52	-0.17
Total Current Assets	0.95	0.93	0.14	0.73	0.82	0.72		0.33	-0.9	0.34	-0.2	0.21	0.9	-0.37	0.33	0.06	0.41	0.29	-0.16	0.28	0.34	-0.31	0.29	0.19	-0.09	0.18	0.04
Short Term Debt	0.32	0.2	0.71	0.24	0.28	0.46	0.33		-0.31	-0.29	-0.38	0.55	0.3	-0.51	0.41	0.17	0.39	0.62	-0.38	0.43	0.51	-0.56	0.96	0.55	-0.23	0.6	-0.62
Common Stock	-0.87	-0.92	-0.16	-0.75	-0.71	-0.53	-0.9	-0.31		-0.34	0.14	-0.25	-1.0	0.45	-0.33	-0.21	-0.27	-0.38	0.15	-0.22	-0.37	0.31	-0.23	-0.02	-0.08	-0.14	0.1
Accounts Payable	0.18	0.26	-0.69	0.02	0.55	-0.01	0.34	-0.29	-0.34		-0.41	-0.31	0.34	0.51	-0.5	-0.24	-0.02	-0.51	0.25	-0.39	-0.33	0.01	-0.22	-0.07	-0.27	-0.24	0.12
Long Term Debt	-0.03	-0.07	0.18	0.08	-0.54	0.02	-0.2	-0.38	0.14	-0.41		0.01	-0.14	-0.35	0.39	0.39	-0.29	0.23	0.02	0.09	0.32	0.41	-0.44	-0.31	0.57	-0.17	0.23
Property Plant Equipment	0.38	0.2	0.81	0.13	-0.03	0.66	0.21	0.55	-0.25	-0.31	0.01		0.25	-0.59	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.63	-0.95	0.82	0.34	0.19	0.39	0.59	0.27	0.74	-0.63
Current Deferred Revenue	0.87	0.92	0.16	0.75	0.71	0.53	0.9	0.3	-1.0	0.34	-0.14	0.25		-0.45	0.33	0.21	0.27	0.38	-0.15	0.22	0.37	-0.31	0.23	0.01	0.08	0.14	-0.1
Treasury Stock	-0.59	-0.51	-0.74	-0.71	0.08	-0.52	-0.37	-0.51	0.45	0.51	-0.35	-0.59	-0.45		-0.93	-0.61	-0.22	-0.94	0.41	-0.6	-0.82	0.05	-0.38	0.04	-0.21	-0.33	0.2
Good Will	0.59	0.46	0.7	0.6	-0.17	0.63	0.33	0.41	-0.33	-0.5	0.39	0.61	0.33	-0.93		0.56	0.26	0.86	-0.47	0.74	0.81	0.07	0.29	0.06	0.2	0.42	-0.14
Intangible Assets	0.2	0.26	0.15	0.56	-0.25	-0.06	0.06	0.17	-0.21	-0.24	0.39	-0.11	0.21	-0.61	0.56		-0.47	0.55	0.34	0.04	0.82	-0.23	0.14	-0.49	0.04	-0.07	0.03
Net Tangible Assets	0.45	0.31	0.49	0.14	0.32	0.65	0.41	0.39	-0.27	-0.02	-0.29	0.73	0.27	-0.22	0.26	-0.47		0.24	-0.75	0.72	-0.06	0.1	0.22	0.72	0.19	0.72	-0.49
Total Permanent Equity	0.48	0.39	0.79	0.58	-0.06	0.5	0.29	0.62	-0.38	-0.51	0.23	0.63	0.38	-0.94	0.86	0.55	0.24		-0.43	0.61	0.77	-0.1	0.5	0.13	0.24	0.46	-0.37
Short Term Investments	-0.32	-0.13	-0.68	0.0	0.02	-0.64	-0.16	-0.38	0.15	0.25	0.02	-0.95	-0.15	0.41	-0.47	0.34	-0.75	-0.43		-0.73	-0.12	-0.36	-0.26	-0.57	-0.21	-0.59	0.45
Capital Surpluse	0.48	0.3	0.73	0.23	-0.09	0.7	0.28	0.43	-0.22	-0.39	0.09	0.82	0.22	-0.6	0.74	0.04	0.72	0.61	-0.73		0.4	0.08	0.24	0.57	0.34	0.84	-0.5
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.5	0.43	0.52	0.63	-0.01	0.43	0.34	0.51	-0.37	-0.33	0.32	0.34	0.37	-0.82	0.81	0.82	-0.06	0.77	-0.12	0.4		-0.24	0.45	-0.05	0.0	0.27	-0.16
Long Term Investments	-0.13	-0.17	-0.13	-0.14	-0.45	0.01	-0.31	-0.56	0.31	0.01	0.41	0.19	-0.31	0.05	0.07	-0.23	0.1	-0.1	-0.36	0.08	-0.24		-0.58	-0.13	0.3	-0.16	0.24
Short Long Term Debt	0.23	0.12	0.57	0.16	0.31	0.38	0.29	0.96	-0.23	-0.22	-0.44	0.39	0.23	-0.38	0.29	0.14	0.22	0.5	-0.26	0.24	0.45	-0.58		0.46	-0.43	0.42	-0.46
Net Invested Capital	0.14	-0.06	0.5	-0.27	0.27	0.54	0.19	0.55	-0.02	-0.07	-0.31	0.59	0.01	0.04	0.06	-0.49	0.72	0.13	-0.57	0.57	-0.05	-0.13	0.46		0.11	0.82	-0.66
Net Working Capital	0.02	0.01	0.33	-0.02	-0.27	0.04	-0.09	-0.23	-0.08	-0.27	0.57	0.27	0.08	-0.21	0.2	0.04	0.19	0.24	-0.21	0.34	0.0	0.3	-0.43	0.11		0.3	-0.34
Capital Stock	0.25	0.09	0.65	-0.01	0.04	0.52	0.18	0.6	-0.14	-0.24	-0.17	0.74	0.14	-0.33	0.42	-0.07	0.72	0.46	-0.59	0.84	0.27	-0.16	0.42	0.82	0.3		-0.83
Long Term Debt Total	0.03	0.13	-0.57	0.17	0.02	-0.17	0.04	-0.62	0.1	0.12	0.23	-0.63	-0.1	0.2	-0.14	0.03	-0.49	-0.37	0.45	-0.5	-0.16	0.24	-0.46	-0.66	-0.34	-0.83

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Coffee Holding

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Coffee Holding Co has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 20.0%. This is 44.72% lower than that of the Food Products sector and 51.92% lower than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 49.79% higher than that of the company.

Coffee Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Coffee Holding's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Coffee Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coffee Holding by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Coffee Holding is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Coffee Holding Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.008733)	0.02	(0.11)	(0.0196)	(0.0225)	(0.0214)
Net Debt	3.2M	3.8M	10.0M	10.1M	11.6M	12.2M
Total Current Liabilities	4.0M	10.3M	6.4M	15.4M	17.7M	9.7M
Non Current Liabilities Total	6.8M	3.6M	11.7M	3.6M	4.1M	2.2M
Total Assets	38.5M	43.3M	42.7M	42.7M	49.1M	29.5M
Total Current Assets	28.0M	30.3M	31.7M	34.0M	39.1M	24.3M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	4.4M	4.7M	(5.4M)	652.1K	749.9K	706.0K

Coffee Holding ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Coffee Holding's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Coffee Holding's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Coffee Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0466
	Return On Asset	0.0264
	Profit Margin	0.01 %
	Operating Margin	0.04 %
	Current Valuation	17.87 M
	Shares Outstanding	5.71 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	12.69 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	12.18 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	31.26 K
	Price To Earning	11.18 X
	Price To Book	0.70 X
	Price To Sales	0.23 X
	Revenue	68.17 M
	Gross Profit	11.01 M
	EBITDA	(3.81 M)
	Net Income	(835.58 K)
	Cash And Equivalents	1.43 M
	Cash Per Share	0.25 X
	Total Debt	12.86 M
	Debt To Equity	0.33 %
	Current Ratio	5.51 X
	Book Value Per Share	4.37 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	652.08 K
	Short Ratio	0.17 X
	Earnings Per Share	0.20 X
	Target Price	7.0
	Number Of Employees	96
	Beta	1.34
	Market Capitalization	17.53 M
	Total Asset	42.69 M
	Retained Earnings	9.49 M
	Working Capital	18.6 M
	Current Asset	32.69 M
	Current Liabilities	11.02 M
	Net Asset	42.69 M

About Coffee Holding Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Coffee Holding Co's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Coffee Holding using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Coffee Holding Co based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Coffee Holding offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Coffee Holding's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Coffee Holding Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Coffee Holding Co Stock:

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Is Coffee Stock a good investment?

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What is Coffee Holding's Net Worth?

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Largest Packaged Foods & Meats Companies

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Check out Coffee Holding Piotroski F Score and Coffee Holding Altman Z Score analysis.

You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.58)

Earnings Share

0.2

Revenue Per Share

13.333

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.193

Return On Assets

0.0264

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

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Coffee Holding Co Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Coffee Holding Co Company chance of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Coffee Holding Probability Of Bankruptcy

Coffee Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Coffee Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Coffee Holding Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Coffee Holding ESG Sustainability

Coffee Fundamentals

About Coffee Holding Fundamental Analysis

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