Greenfire Resources Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

GFR Stock   6.97  0.17  2.38%   
Greenfire Resources' probability of distress is over 50% at this time. It has a moderate risk of going through some financial hardship in the next 2 years. Greenfire Resources' Probability of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Greenfire Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Greenfire balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Greenfire Resources Piotroski F Score and Greenfire Resources Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Greenfire Stock, please use our How to Invest in Greenfire Resources guide.
  

Greenfire Resources Company probability of distress Analysis

Greenfire Resources' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

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More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Greenfire Resources Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 56%  
Most of Greenfire Resources' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Greenfire Resources is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Greenfire Resources probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Greenfire Resources odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Greenfire Resources financial health.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Greenfire Resources. If investors know Greenfire will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Greenfire Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.229
Earnings Share
0.53
Revenue Per Share
11.074
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.249
Return On Assets
0.0384
The market value of Greenfire Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Greenfire that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Greenfire Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Greenfire Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Greenfire Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Greenfire Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Greenfire Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Greenfire Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Greenfire Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Greenfire Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Greenfire Resources is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Greenfire Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Greenfire Resources' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Greenfire Resources' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Greenfire Resources' interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Greenfire Resources has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 56%. This is 16.13% higher than that of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector and 15.06% higher than that of the Energy industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 40.6% lower than that of the firm.

Greenfire Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Greenfire Resources' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Greenfire Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Greenfire Resources by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Greenfire Resources is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Greenfire Resources ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Greenfire Resources' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Greenfire Resources' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

Greenfire Fundamentals

About Greenfire Resources Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Greenfire Resources's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Greenfire Resources using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greenfire Resources based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Greenfire Resources

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Greenfire Resources position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Greenfire Resources will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Greenfire Resources could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Greenfire Resources when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Greenfire Resources - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Greenfire Resources to buy it.
The correlation of Greenfire Resources is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Greenfire Resources moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Greenfire Resources moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Greenfire Resources can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Greenfire Stock Analysis

When running Greenfire Resources' price analysis, check to measure Greenfire Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greenfire Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Greenfire Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greenfire Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greenfire Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greenfire Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.