Smith Midland Corp Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 39.56 43.64 53.24 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 47.53 51.61 55.70 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Lower Middle Band Upper 27.01 37.19 47.37 Details

Smith Midland After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Smith Midland Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Smith Midland Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.71	4.08	0.43	0.40	5 Events / Month	8 Events / Month	In about 5 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
48.40	47.97	0.89	680.00   Notes

Smith Midland Hype Timeline

Smith Midland Corp is at this time traded for 48.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.43, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.4. Smith is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 47.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.89%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.71%. The volatility of related hype on Smith Midland is about 715.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.00. About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of December 2019. Smith Midland Corp had 1:1 split on the June 19, 2008. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Smith Midland Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Smith Midland Related Hype Analysis

Smith Midland Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Smith price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smith using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smith charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Smith Midland stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Smith Midland Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Smith Midland based on analysis of Smith Midland hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Smith Midland depends on current market conditions and Smith Midland's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Smith Midland is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Smith Midland's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Smith Midland's future price predictability will typically decrease when Smith Midland's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Smith Midland Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Smith Midland's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smith Midland's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Smith Midland's price analysis, check to measure Smith Midland's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smith Midland is operating at the current time. Most of Smith Midland's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smith Midland's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smith Midland's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smith Midland to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.