Ironbark Capital (Australia) Price Prediction
| IBC Stock | 0.46 0.01 2.13% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.48) |
Using Ironbark Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ironbark Capital from the perspective of Ironbark Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ironbark Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ironbark because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ironbark Capital after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ironbark |
Ironbark Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ironbark Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ironbark Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ironbark Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ironbark Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ironbark Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ironbark Capital's historical news coverage. Ironbark Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 1.48, respectively. We have considered Ironbark Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ironbark Capital is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ironbark Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ironbark Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ironbark Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ironbark Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ironbark Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.46 | 0.46 | 0.00 |
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Ironbark Capital Hype Timeline
Ironbark Capital is currently traded for 0.46on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ironbark is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ironbark Capital is about 2550.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.46. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ironbark Capital last dividend was issued on the 5th of September 2024. The entity had 1.038:1 split on the 3rd of July 1997. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Ironbark Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ironbark Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ironbark Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ironbark Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Ironbark Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ironbark Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MGX | Mount Gibson Iron | 0.01 | 2 per month | 2.67 | (0.03) | 6.45 | (3.23) | 15.73 | |
| BIS | Bisalloy Steel Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.28 | 0.05 | 5.97 | (4.08) | 27.85 | |
| IRD | Iron Road | 0 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.06 | (6.25) | 17.49 | |
| VSL | Vulcan Steel | (0.25) | 1 per month | 3.00 | (0.02) | 5.87 | (5.54) | 15.01 | |
| DXC | Dexus Convenience Retail | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.87 | (0.02) | 1.74 | (1.36) | 6.97 | |
| HIO | Hawsons Iron | (0) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.56 | (8.33) | 29.05 | |
| BTI | Bailador Technology Invest | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.64 | (0) | 1.72 | (1.56) | 6.56 | |
| EMV | EMvision Medical Devices | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.32 | (4.15) | 15.88 |
Ironbark Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ironbark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ironbark using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ironbark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ironbark Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ironbark Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ironbark Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ironbark Capital based on analysis of Ironbark Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ironbark Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ironbark Capital's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Ironbark Capital
The number of cover stories for Ironbark Capital depends on current market conditions and Ironbark Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ironbark Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ironbark Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ironbark Capital Short Properties
Ironbark Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ironbark Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ironbark Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ironbark Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ironbark Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.4 M |
Additional Tools for Ironbark Stock Analysis
When running Ironbark Capital's price analysis, check to measure Ironbark Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ironbark Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Ironbark Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ironbark Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ironbark Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ironbark Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.