Virtus Global Dividend Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 6.11
| ZTR Fund | USD 5.42 0.01 0.18% |
Virtus |
Virtus Global Target Price Odds to finish over 6.11
The tendency of Virtus Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 6.11 or more in 90 days |
| 5.42 | 90 days | 6.11 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Virtus Global to move over $ 6.11 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Virtus Global Dividend probability density function shows the probability of Virtus Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Virtus Global Dividend price to stay between its current price of $ 5.42 and $ 6.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.03 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Virtus Global has a beta of 0.57. This usually means as returns on the market go up, Virtus Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Virtus Global Dividend will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Virtus Global Dividend has an alpha of 0.0264, implying that it can generate a 0.0264 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Virtus Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Virtus Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virtus Global Dividend. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Virtus Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Virtus Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Virtus Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Virtus Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Virtus Global Dividend, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Virtus Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Virtus Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Virtus Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Virtus Global Dividend can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Virtus Total Return Fund Inc. Discloses Sources of Distribution Section 19 Notice - StockTitan | |
| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% |
Virtus Global Technical Analysis
Virtus Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Virtus Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Virtus Global Dividend. In general, you should focus on analyzing Virtus Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Virtus Global Predictive Forecast Models
Virtus Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Virtus Global's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Virtus Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Virtus Global Dividend
Checking the ongoing alerts about Virtus Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Virtus Global Dividend help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Virtus Total Return Fund Inc. Discloses Sources of Distribution Section 19 Notice - StockTitan | |
| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% |
Other Information on Investing in Virtus Fund
Virtus Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Virtus Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Virtus with respect to the benefits of owning Virtus Global security.
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| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements |