Walmart Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 68.83
| WMT Stock | USD 76.64 0.32 0.42% |
Closest to current price Walmart long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Walmart |
Walmart Target Price Odds to finish over 68.83
The tendency of Walmart Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 68.83 in 90 days |
| 76.64 | 90 days | 68.83 | about 64.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Walmart to stay above $ 68.83 in 90 days from now is about 64.68 (This Walmart probability density function shows the probability of Walmart Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Walmart price to stay between $ 68.83 and its current price of $76.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.72 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Walmart has a beta of 0.58. This entails as returns on the market go up, Walmart average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Walmart will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Walmart has an alpha of 0.1815, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Walmart Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Walmart
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walmart. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Walmart's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Walmart Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Walmart is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Walmart's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Walmart, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Walmart within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Walmart Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Walmart for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Walmart can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Walmart has 60.44 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.81, which is OK given its current industry classification. Walmart has a current ratio of 0.85, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Walmart to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 46.0% of Walmart outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| On 3rd of September 2024 Walmart paid $ 0.2075 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Disposition of 8617 shares by S Walton of Walmart at 77.423 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Walmart Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Walmart Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Walmart's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Walmart's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.9 B |
Walmart Technical Analysis
Walmart's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Walmart Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Walmart. In general, you should focus on analyzing Walmart Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Walmart Predictive Forecast Models
Walmart's time-series forecasting models is one of many Walmart's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Walmart's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Walmart
Checking the ongoing alerts about Walmart for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Walmart help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Walmart has 60.44 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.81, which is OK given its current industry classification. Walmart has a current ratio of 0.85, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Walmart to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 46.0% of Walmart outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| On 3rd of September 2024 Walmart paid $ 0.2075 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Disposition of 8617 shares by S Walton of Walmart at 77.423 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Walmart Stock Analysis
When running Walmart's price analysis, check to measure Walmart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Walmart is operating at the current time. Most of Walmart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Walmart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Walmart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Walmart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.