Victorias Secret Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.58
| VSCO Stock | USD 26.04 0.24 0.93% |
Closest to current price Victorias long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Victorias |
Victorias Secret Target Price Odds to finish below 18.58
The tendency of Victorias Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 18.58 or more in 90 days |
| 26.04 | 90 days | 18.58 | about 23.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Victorias Secret to drop to $ 18.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.43 (This Victorias Secret Co probability density function shows the probability of Victorias Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Victorias Secret price to stay between $ 18.58 and its current price of $26.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.2 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.38 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Victorias Secret will likely underperform. Additionally Victorias Secret Co has an alpha of 0.4704, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Victorias Secret Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Victorias Secret
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victorias Secret. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victorias Secret's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Victorias Secret Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Victorias Secret is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Victorias Secret's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Victorias Secret Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Victorias Secret within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Victorias Secret Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Victorias Secret for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Victorias Secret can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Victorias Secret appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Victorias Secret has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Why Victorias Secret Stock is Moving Today |
Victorias Secret Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Victorias Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Victorias Secret's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Victorias Secret's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 270 M |
Victorias Secret Technical Analysis
Victorias Secret's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Victorias Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Victorias Secret Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Victorias Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Victorias Secret Predictive Forecast Models
Victorias Secret's time-series forecasting models is one of many Victorias Secret's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Victorias Secret's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Victorias Secret
Checking the ongoing alerts about Victorias Secret for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Victorias Secret help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Victorias Secret appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Victorias Secret has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Why Victorias Secret Stock is Moving Today |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Victorias Stock
When determining whether Victorias Secret offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Victorias Secret's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Victorias Secret Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Victorias Secret Co Stock:Check out Victorias Secret Backtesting, Victorias Secret Valuation, Victorias Secret Correlation, Victorias Secret Hype Analysis, Victorias Secret Volatility, Victorias Secret History as well as Victorias Secret Performance. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Victorias Secret. If investors know Victorias will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Victorias Secret listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.099 | Earnings Share 1.75 | Revenue Per Share 78.526 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0345 |
The market value of Victorias Secret is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Victorias that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Victorias Secret's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Victorias Secret's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Victorias Secret's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Victorias Secret's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Victorias Secret's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Victorias Secret is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Victorias Secret's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.