Mammoth Energy Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.28
| TUSK Stock | USD 3.28 0.01 0.30% |
Closest to current price Mammoth long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Mammoth |
Mammoth Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 3.28
The tendency of Mammoth Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.28 | 90 days | 3.28 | about 77.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mammoth Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.69 (This Mammoth Energy Services probability density function shows the probability of Mammoth Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This usually implies Mammoth Energy Services market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mammoth Energy is expected to follow. Additionally Mammoth Energy Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mammoth Energy Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Mammoth Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mammoth Energy Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mammoth Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mammoth Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mammoth Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mammoth Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mammoth Energy Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mammoth Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Mammoth Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mammoth Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mammoth Energy Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mammoth Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 309.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 83.5 M. | |
| Mammoth Energy has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Sapura Energy Berhad First Quarter 2025 Earnings EPS RM0.005 |
Mammoth Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mammoth Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mammoth Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mammoth Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.3 M |
Mammoth Energy Technical Analysis
Mammoth Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mammoth Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mammoth Energy Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mammoth Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mammoth Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Mammoth Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mammoth Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mammoth Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mammoth Energy Services
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mammoth Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mammoth Energy Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mammoth Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 309.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 83.5 M. | |
| Mammoth Energy has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Sapura Energy Berhad First Quarter 2025 Earnings EPS RM0.005 |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Mammoth Stock
When determining whether Mammoth Energy Services is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Mammoth Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Mammoth Energy Services Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Mammoth Energy Services Stock:Check out Mammoth Energy Backtesting, Mammoth Energy Valuation, Mammoth Energy Correlation, Mammoth Energy Hype Analysis, Mammoth Energy Volatility, Mammoth Energy History as well as Mammoth Energy Performance. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mammoth Energy. If investors know Mammoth will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mammoth Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.50) | Revenue Per Share 4.934 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.63) | Return On Assets (0.04) | Return On Equity (0.05) |
The market value of Mammoth Energy Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mammoth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mammoth Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mammoth Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mammoth Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mammoth Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mammoth Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mammoth Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mammoth Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.