Tectonic Financial Pr Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 8.64

TECTP Preferred Stock  USD 10.20  0.13  1.26%   
Tectonic Financial's future price is the expected price of Tectonic Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tectonic Financial PR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tectonic Financial Backtesting, Tectonic Financial Valuation, Tectonic Financial Correlation, Tectonic Financial Hype Analysis, Tectonic Financial Volatility, Tectonic Financial History as well as Tectonic Financial Performance.
  
Please specify Tectonic Financial's target price for which you would like Tectonic Financial odds to be computed.

Tectonic Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 8.64

The tendency of Tectonic Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 8.64  or more in 90 days
 10.20 90 days 8.64 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tectonic Financial to drop to $ 8.64  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Tectonic Financial PR probability density function shows the probability of Tectonic Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tectonic Financial price to stay between $ 8.64  and its current price of $10.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tectonic Financial PR has a beta of -0.35. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tectonic Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tectonic Financial PR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tectonic Financial PR has an alpha of 0.1082, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tectonic Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tectonic Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tectonic Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tectonic Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.4510.2010.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.828.5711.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.5610.3111.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.8810.1010.31
Details

Tectonic Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tectonic Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tectonic Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tectonic Financial PR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tectonic Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Tectonic Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tectonic Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tectonic Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tectonic Financial PR has accumulated about 41.51 M in cash with (43.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.88.
Roughly 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Tectonic Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tectonic Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tectonic Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tectonic Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments27.4 M

Tectonic Financial Technical Analysis

Tectonic Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tectonic Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tectonic Financial PR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tectonic Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tectonic Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Tectonic Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tectonic Financial's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tectonic Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tectonic Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tectonic Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tectonic Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tectonic Financial PR has accumulated about 41.51 M in cash with (43.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.88.
Roughly 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Tectonic Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Tectonic Financial's price analysis, check to measure Tectonic Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tectonic Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Tectonic Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tectonic Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tectonic Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tectonic Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.