Beauty Health Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.04
| SKIN Stock | USD 1.86 0.04 2.20% |
Closest to current price Beauty long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Beauty |
Beauty Health Target Price Odds to finish below 0.04
The tendency of Beauty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.04 or more in 90 days |
| 1.86 | 90 days | 0.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Beauty Health to drop to $ 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Beauty Health Co probability density function shows the probability of Beauty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Beauty Health price to stay between $ 0.04 and its current price of $1.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.47 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Beauty Health will likely underperform. Additionally Beauty Health Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Beauty Health Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Beauty Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beauty Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Beauty Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Beauty Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Beauty Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Beauty Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Beauty Health Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Beauty Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
Beauty Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Beauty Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Beauty Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Beauty Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Beauty Health may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Beauty Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 397.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (100.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 250.34 M. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from nypost.com: Robot face with lab-grown living skin created by scientists hoping to make more human-like cyborgs |
Beauty Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Beauty Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Beauty Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beauty Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 131.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 523 M |
Beauty Health Technical Analysis
Beauty Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Beauty Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Beauty Health Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Beauty Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Beauty Health Predictive Forecast Models
Beauty Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Beauty Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Beauty Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Beauty Health
Checking the ongoing alerts about Beauty Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Beauty Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Beauty Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Beauty Health may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Beauty Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 397.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (100.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 250.34 M. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from nypost.com: Robot face with lab-grown living skin created by scientists hoping to make more human-like cyborgs |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Beauty Stock
When determining whether Beauty Health offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Beauty Health's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Beauty Health Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Beauty Health Co Stock:Check out Beauty Health Backtesting, Beauty Health Valuation, Beauty Health Correlation, Beauty Health Hype Analysis, Beauty Health Volatility, Beauty Health History as well as Beauty Health Performance. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Beauty Health. If investors know Beauty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Beauty Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.71) | Revenue Per Share 3.039 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets (0.09) | Return On Equity (0.76) |
The market value of Beauty Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Beauty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Beauty Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Beauty Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Beauty Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Beauty Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Beauty Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Beauty Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Beauty Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.