Netsol Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.66
| NTWK Stock | USD 2.73 0.02 0.73% |
Closest to current price NetSol long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
NetSol |
NetSol Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 2.66
The tendency of NetSol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.66 or more in 90 days |
| 2.73 | 90 days | 2.66 | about 32.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NetSol Technologies to drop to $ 2.66 or more in 90 days from now is about 32.21 (This NetSol Technologies probability density function shows the probability of NetSol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NetSol Technologies price to stay between $ 2.66 and its current price of $2.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.74 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days NetSol Technologies has a beta of -0.0846. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NetSol Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NetSol Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NetSol Technologies has an alpha of 0.0329, implying that it can generate a 0.0329 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NetSol Technologies Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for NetSol Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NetSol Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NetSol Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NetSol Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NetSol Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NetSol Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NetSol Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NetSol Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
NetSol Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NetSol Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NetSol Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 52.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.92 M. | |
| NetSol Technologies has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: NETSOL Signs Expansion Agreement with Major Automaker Increasing Total Contract Value to Over 30 Million |
NetSol Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NetSol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NetSol Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NetSol Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.5 M |
NetSol Technologies Technical Analysis
NetSol Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NetSol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NetSol Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing NetSol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NetSol Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
NetSol Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many NetSol Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NetSol Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NetSol Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about NetSol Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NetSol Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 52.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.92 M. | |
| NetSol Technologies has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: NETSOL Signs Expansion Agreement with Major Automaker Increasing Total Contract Value to Over 30 Million |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in NetSol Stock
When determining whether NetSol Technologies is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if NetSol Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Netsol Technologies Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Netsol Technologies Stock:Check out NetSol Technologies Backtesting, NetSol Technologies Valuation, NetSol Technologies Correlation, NetSol Technologies Hype Analysis, NetSol Technologies Volatility, NetSol Technologies History as well as NetSol Technologies Performance. For more information on how to buy NetSol Stock please use our How to buy in NetSol Stock guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NetSol Technologies. If investors know NetSol will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NetSol Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.87) | Earnings Share (0.38) | Revenue Per Share 5.173 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.145 | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of NetSol Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NetSol that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NetSol Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NetSol Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NetSol Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NetSol Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NetSol Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NetSol Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NetSol Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.