Masterbrand Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.61
| MBC Stock | 18.87 0.04 0.21% |
MasterBrand |
MasterBrand Target Price Odds to finish over 21.61
The tendency of MasterBrand Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 21.61 or more in 90 days |
| 18.87 | 90 days | 21.61 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MasterBrand to move over 21.61 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This MasterBrand probability density function shows the probability of MasterBrand Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MasterBrand price to stay between its current price of 18.87 and 21.61 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.48 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MasterBrand will likely underperform. Additionally MasterBrand has an alpha of 0.079, implying that it can generate a 0.079 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MasterBrand Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MasterBrand
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MasterBrand. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MasterBrand's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MasterBrand Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MasterBrand is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MasterBrand's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MasterBrand, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MasterBrand within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
MasterBrand Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MasterBrand for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MasterBrand can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MasterBrand had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: MasterBrand Inc Shares Up 3.54 percent on Sep 19 |
MasterBrand Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MasterBrand Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MasterBrand's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MasterBrand's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 129.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 148.7 M |
MasterBrand Technical Analysis
MasterBrand's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MasterBrand Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MasterBrand. In general, you should focus on analyzing MasterBrand Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MasterBrand Predictive Forecast Models
MasterBrand's time-series forecasting models is one of many MasterBrand's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MasterBrand's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MasterBrand
Checking the ongoing alerts about MasterBrand for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MasterBrand help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MasterBrand had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: MasterBrand Inc Shares Up 3.54 percent on Sep 19 |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in MasterBrand Stock
When determining whether MasterBrand offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MasterBrand's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Masterbrand Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Masterbrand Stock:Check out MasterBrand Backtesting, MasterBrand Valuation, MasterBrand Correlation, MasterBrand Hype Analysis, MasterBrand Volatility, MasterBrand History as well as MasterBrand Performance. For information on how to trade MasterBrand Stock refer to our How to Trade MasterBrand Stock guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MasterBrand. If investors know MasterBrand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MasterBrand listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Earnings Share 1.37 | Revenue Per Share 20.991 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets 0.0767 |
The market value of MasterBrand is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MasterBrand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MasterBrand's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MasterBrand's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MasterBrand's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MasterBrand's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MasterBrand's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MasterBrand is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MasterBrand's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.