Jayud Global Logistics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.11
| JYD Stock | 0.51 0.03 5.56% |
Jayud |
Jayud Global Target Price Odds to finish over 1.11
The tendency of Jayud Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 1.11 or more in 90 days |
| 0.51 | 90 days | 1.11 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jayud Global to move over 1.11 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Jayud Global Logistics probability density function shows the probability of Jayud Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jayud Global Logistics price to stay between its current price of 0.51 and 1.11 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Jayud Global Logistics has a beta of -0.47. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jayud Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jayud Global Logistics is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jayud Global Logistics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Jayud Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jayud Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jayud Global Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jayud Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jayud Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jayud Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jayud Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jayud Global Logistics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jayud Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.88 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Jayud Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jayud Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jayud Global Logistics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jayud Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Jayud Global has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Jayud Global has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Jayud Global has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 497.87 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (80.28 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 37.39 M. | |
| Jayud Global generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Market Cool On Jayud Global Logistics Limiteds Revenues Pushing Shares 27 percent Lower |
Jayud Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jayud Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jayud Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jayud Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.1 M |
Jayud Global Technical Analysis
Jayud Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jayud Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jayud Global Logistics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jayud Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jayud Global Predictive Forecast Models
Jayud Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jayud Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jayud Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jayud Global Logistics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jayud Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jayud Global Logistics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jayud Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Jayud Global has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Jayud Global has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Jayud Global has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 497.87 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (80.28 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 37.39 M. | |
| Jayud Global generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Market Cool On Jayud Global Logistics Limiteds Revenues Pushing Shares 27 percent Lower |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Jayud Stock
When determining whether Jayud Global Logistics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Jayud Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Jayud Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Jayud Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Jayud Global Backtesting, Jayud Global Valuation, Jayud Global Correlation, Jayud Global Hype Analysis, Jayud Global Volatility, Jayud Global History as well as Jayud Global Performance. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jayud Global. If investors know Jayud will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jayud Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.48) | Revenue Per Share 23.794 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.659 | Return On Assets (0.41) | Return On Equity (31.08) |
The market value of Jayud Global Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jayud that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jayud Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jayud Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jayud Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jayud Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jayud Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jayud Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jayud Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.