Hycroft Mining Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0174
| HYMCW Stock | USD 0.01 0 9.42% |
Hycroft |
Hycroft Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0174
The tendency of Hycroft Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.02 after 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.02 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hycroft Mining to stay under $ 0.02 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Hycroft Mining Holding probability density function shows the probability of Hycroft Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hycroft Mining Holding price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01 and $ 0.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hycroft Mining Holding has a beta of -1.65. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Hycroft Mining Holding are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Hycroft Mining is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Hycroft Mining Holding has an alpha of 0.1868, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hycroft Mining Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Hycroft Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hycroft Mining Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hycroft Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hycroft Mining Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hycroft Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hycroft Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hycroft Mining Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hycroft Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Hycroft Mining Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hycroft Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hycroft Mining Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hycroft Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Hycroft Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Hycroft Mining has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (55.02 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (50.95 M). | |
| Hycroft Mining Holding has accumulated about 157.97 M in cash with (41.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.79, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Hycroft Mining has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from Mudrick Capital Management, L.p.: Disposition of 145871 shares by Mudrick Capital Management, L.p. of Hycroft Mining at 0.1089 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Hycroft Mining Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hycroft Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hycroft Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hycroft Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.2 M |
Hycroft Mining Technical Analysis
Hycroft Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hycroft Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hycroft Mining Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hycroft Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hycroft Mining Predictive Forecast Models
Hycroft Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hycroft Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hycroft Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hycroft Mining Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hycroft Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hycroft Mining Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hycroft Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Hycroft Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Hycroft Mining has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (55.02 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (50.95 M). | |
| Hycroft Mining Holding has accumulated about 157.97 M in cash with (41.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.79, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Hycroft Mining has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from Mudrick Capital Management, L.p.: Disposition of 145871 shares by Mudrick Capital Management, L.p. of Hycroft Mining at 0.1089 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Hycroft Stock Analysis
When running Hycroft Mining's price analysis, check to measure Hycroft Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hycroft Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Hycroft Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hycroft Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hycroft Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hycroft Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.