Hagar Hf (Iceland) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 82.25
| HAGA Stock | ISK 97.00 2.00 2.11% |
Hagar |
Hagar Hf Target Price Odds to finish below 82.25
The tendency of Hagar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 82.25 or more in 90 days |
| 97.00 | 90 days | 82.25 | about 26.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hagar Hf to drop to 82.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 26.95 (This Hagar hf probability density function shows the probability of Hagar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hagar hf price to stay between 82.25 and its current price of 97.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hagar hf has a beta of -0.5. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hagar Hf are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hagar hf is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hagar hf has an alpha of 0.2389, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hagar Hf Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hagar Hf
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hagar hf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hagar Hf's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hagar Hf Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hagar Hf is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hagar Hf's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hagar hf, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hagar Hf within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Hagar Hf Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hagar Hf for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hagar hf can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hagar hf has accumulated 11.72 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.86, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Hagar hf has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hagar Hf until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hagar Hf's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hagar hf sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hagar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hagar Hf's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 76.0% of Hagar Hf shares are owned by institutional investors |
Hagar Hf Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hagar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hagar Hf's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hagar Hf's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
Hagar Hf Technical Analysis
Hagar Hf's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hagar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hagar hf. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hagar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hagar Hf Predictive Forecast Models
Hagar Hf's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hagar Hf's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hagar Hf's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hagar hf
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hagar Hf for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hagar hf help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hagar hf has accumulated 11.72 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.86, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Hagar hf has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hagar Hf until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hagar Hf's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hagar hf sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hagar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hagar Hf's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 76.0% of Hagar Hf shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Hagar Stock
Hagar Hf financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hagar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hagar with respect to the benefits of owning Hagar Hf security.