Gedik Yatirim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.3
| GEDIK Stock | TRY 15.37 0.07 0.46% |
Gedik |
Gedik Yatirim Target Price Odds to finish over 15.3
The tendency of Gedik Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 15.30 in 90 days |
| 15.37 | 90 days | 15.30 | about 31.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gedik Yatirim to stay above 15.30 in 90 days from now is about 31.8 (This Gedik Yatirim Menkul probability density function shows the probability of Gedik Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gedik Yatirim Menkul price to stay between 15.30 and its current price of 15.37 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gedik Yatirim has a beta of 0.0528. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gedik Yatirim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gedik Yatirim Menkul will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gedik Yatirim Menkul has an alpha of 0.3159, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gedik Yatirim Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gedik Yatirim
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gedik Yatirim Menkul. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gedik Yatirim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gedik Yatirim Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gedik Yatirim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gedik Yatirim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gedik Yatirim Menkul, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gedik Yatirim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Gedik Yatirim Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gedik Yatirim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gedik Yatirim Menkul can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gedik Yatirim Menkul has accumulated about 859.02 M in cash with (856.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.16. |
Gedik Yatirim Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gedik Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gedik Yatirim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gedik Yatirim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 453.9 M |
Gedik Yatirim Technical Analysis
Gedik Yatirim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gedik Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gedik Yatirim Menkul. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gedik Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gedik Yatirim Predictive Forecast Models
Gedik Yatirim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gedik Yatirim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gedik Yatirim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gedik Yatirim Menkul
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gedik Yatirim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gedik Yatirim Menkul help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gedik Yatirim Menkul has accumulated about 859.02 M in cash with (856.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.16. |
Other Information on Investing in Gedik Stock
Gedik Yatirim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gedik Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gedik with respect to the benefits of owning Gedik Yatirim security.