Galiano Gold Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.21
| GAU Stock | USD 1.73 0.03 1.76% |
Closest to current price Galiano long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Galiano |
Galiano Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 1.21
The tendency of Galiano Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.21 in 90 days |
| 1.73 | 90 days | 1.21 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Galiano Gold to stay above $ 1.21 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Galiano Gold probability density function shows the probability of Galiano Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Galiano Gold price to stay between $ 1.21 and its current price of $1.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.42 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.15 . This usually indicates Galiano Gold market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Galiano Gold is expected to follow. Additionally Galiano Gold has an alpha of 0.6263, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Galiano Gold Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Galiano Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galiano Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Galiano Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Galiano Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Galiano Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Galiano Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Galiano Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Galiano Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Galiano Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Galiano Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Galiano Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Galiano Gold may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Galiano Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Galiano Gold has about 56.11 M in cash with (748.48 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| Galiano Gold has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Why Are Investors Positive on Galiano Gold Inc. Right Now - Yahoo Finance |
Galiano Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Galiano Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Galiano Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Galiano Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 225.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 55 M |
Galiano Gold Technical Analysis
Galiano Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Galiano Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Galiano Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Galiano Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Galiano Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Galiano Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Galiano Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Galiano Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Galiano Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Galiano Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Galiano Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Galiano Gold may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Galiano Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Galiano Gold has about 56.11 M in cash with (748.48 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| Galiano Gold has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Why Are Investors Positive on Galiano Gold Inc. Right Now - Yahoo Finance |
Additional Tools for Galiano Stock Analysis
When running Galiano Gold's price analysis, check to measure Galiano Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Galiano Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Galiano Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Galiano Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Galiano Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Galiano Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.