Engene Holdings Common Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 21.7

ENGN Etf  USD 6.61  0.08  1.23%   
EnGene Holdings' future price is the expected price of EnGene Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of enGene Holdings Common performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out EnGene Holdings Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, EnGene Holdings Correlation, EnGene Holdings Hype Analysis, EnGene Holdings Volatility, EnGene Holdings History as well as EnGene Holdings Performance.
  
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EnGene Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 21.7

The tendency of EnGene Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 21.70  or more in 90 days
 6.61 90 days 21.70 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EnGene Holdings to move over $ 21.70  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This enGene Holdings Common probability density function shows the probability of EnGene Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of enGene Holdings Common price to stay between its current price of $ 6.61  and $ 21.70  at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.8 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days EnGene Holdings has a beta of 0.82 suggesting as returns on the market go up, EnGene Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding enGene Holdings Common will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally EnGene Holdings Common has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   EnGene Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for EnGene Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as enGene Holdings Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EnGene Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.126.5612.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.7010.1415.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.677.1112.55
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.3135.5039.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EnGene Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EnGene Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EnGene Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in enGene Holdings Common.

EnGene Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EnGene Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EnGene Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold enGene Holdings Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EnGene Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.82
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

EnGene Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EnGene Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for enGene Holdings Common can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EnGene Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
EnGene Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (99.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
EnGene Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Glickman Richard M of 4123 shares of EnGene Holdings at 0.88 subject to Rule 16b-3
The fund retains about 97.03% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

EnGene Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EnGene Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EnGene Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EnGene Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments81.5 M

EnGene Holdings Technical Analysis

EnGene Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EnGene Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of enGene Holdings Common. In general, you should focus on analyzing EnGene Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

EnGene Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

EnGene Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many EnGene Holdings' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EnGene Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about enGene Holdings Common

Checking the ongoing alerts about EnGene Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for enGene Holdings Common help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EnGene Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
EnGene Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (99.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
EnGene Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Glickman Richard M of 4123 shares of EnGene Holdings at 0.88 subject to Rule 16b-3
The fund retains about 97.03% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in EnGene Etf

EnGene Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether EnGene Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EnGene with respect to the benefits of owning EnGene Holdings security.